Viendo archivo del martes, 7 diciembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Dec 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 341 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 DEC 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED LOW. JUST INFREQUENT SMALL
C-CLASS FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8788 IS STILL THE MOST IMPRESSIVE OF
THE FIVE SPOTTED REGIONS. THE LIMBS WERE QUIET. NEW REGION 8791
(S13E68) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
FORMER REGION 8765 IS DUE TO RETURN IN THE NEXT 24-HOURS AND COULD
POSSIBLY INCREASE THE LEVEL OF SOLAR ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRONS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE. A FULL-HALO CME DETECTED BY THE
LASCO SPACECRAFT ON DECEMBER 6TH COULD POSSIBLY PRODUCE GEOMAGNETIC
AFFECTS ON DECEMBER 8-9.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 DEC a 10 DEC
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 DEC 153 Previsto 08 DEC-10 DEC 165/180/190 Media de 90 Días 07 DEC 166
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 DEC 014/019 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 DEC 015/018 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 DEC-10 DEC 015/015-015/015-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 DEC a 10 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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