Viendo archivo del martes, 5 octubre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Oct 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 278 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 OCT 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED LOW. REGION 8720 (N13E43)
PRODUCED A C2/SF AT 05/0551Z. THE DISK IS CHARACTERIZED BY MANY
SMALL MOSTLY BIPOLAR AND MOSTLY STABLE REGIONS. ONLY REGION 8722
(N15E09) EXHIBITED MODERATE GROWTH BUT REMAINED A MINOR REGION. A
SMALL H CLASS SPOT ROTATED AROUND THE LIMB NEAR S24E68 AND WAS
NUMBERED AS REGION 8725.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
PREDOMINANTLY LOW. THERE IS A SMALL AND DECREASING POSSIBILITY OF A
LOW LEVEL M-CLASS FLARE DURING THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. SOLAR
WIND VELOCITY CONTINUED TO SLOWLY INCREASE AND AT THE END OF THE
PERIOD WAS OVER 550 KM/S.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ISOLATED MINOR STORMING IS POSSIBLE. THIS DISTURBANCE IS BELIEVED TO
BE RELATED TO AN EXTENDED CORONAL HOLE IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE OF
THE SUN. DUE TO THE WIDTH OF THIS FEATURE, DISTURBED CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 OCT a 08 OCT
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 OCT 146 Previsto 06 OCT-08 OCT 148/150/154 Media de 90 Días 05 OCT 155
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 OCT 009/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 OCT 014/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 OCT-08 OCT 015/015-015/010-015/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 OCT a 08 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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