Visualització de l'arxiu de diumenge, 10 de setembre 2017
Informe d'activitat solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe d'activitat Geofísica-Solar 2017 Sep 10 2200 UTCPreparat pel SWPC NOAA © i processat per SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunt segons USAF / NOAA d’activitat Solar i Geofísica
SDF número 253 emès a 2200Z el Sep 10 2017IA. Anàlisi de les regions actives solars i de l'activitat de 2100Z-09 a 2100Z-10 Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X8 event observed at
10/1606Z from old Region 2673 (S09, L=119). There are currently 3
numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Previsió d'activitat solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on day one (11 Sep) and expected to be
very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an
M-class flare on day two (12 Sep) and expected to be very low with a
slight chance for a C-class flare on day three (13 Sep).
IIA. Resum d'activitat geofísica del 2100Z-09 al 2100Z-10
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 560 km/s at 10/1015Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 10/1935Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
10/2020Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1038 pfu at 10/1845Z. Protons greater than 100 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 54 pfu at 10/2100Z.
Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 7875 pfu.
IIB. Previsió d'activitat geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (11 Sep), quiet to active
levels on day two (12 Sep) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day
three (13 Sep). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (11
Sep), are expected to cross threshold on day two (12 Sep) and are likely
to cross threshold on day three (13 Sep).
III. Probabilitats d’esdeveniments de les Sep del 11 a les Sep del 13
| Classe M | 80% | 10% | 01% |
| Classe X | 50% | 01% | 01% |
| Protó | 99% | 95% | 65% |
| PCAF | red | ||
IV. Penticton Flux de 10,7 cm
Observat 10 Sep 100 Predit 11 Sep-13 Sep 085/083/081 Mitjana de 90 dies 10 Sep 081
V. Índexs geomagnètics A
Observat Afr/Ap 09 Sep 006/004 Estimat Afr/Ap 10 Sep 005/006 Predit Afr/Ap 11 Sep-13 Sep 007/007-010/012-020/030
VI. Probabilitats d’activitat geomagnètica del 11 Sep al 13 Sep
| A. Latituds mitjanes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actiu | 15% | 25% | 35% |
| Tempesta menor | 05% | 10% | 25% |
| Tempesta major-severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latituds altes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actiu | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tempesta menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tempesta major-severa | 20% | 40% | 60% |
All times in UTC
<< Anar a la pàgina de visió general diària
Últimes notícies
dilluns, 10 de juny 2024
CME impact, X1.5 solar flare
dissabte, 8 de juny 2024
M9.3 solar flare, S3 proton storm, Earth-directed CME
dissabte, 1 de juny 2024
Double impulsive X-class flares
Últims missatges del fòrum
AR 3712 24Unproven theories 975Incoming Active Regions 487Coronal holes 2Filaments and prominences 189
Més temesDona suport a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Molta gent entra a SpaceWeatherLive per seguir l’activitat del Sol o per veure si hi han aurores, però amb més trànsit més despeses de servidor. Penseu en una donació si us agrada SpaceWeatherLive perquè puguem mantenir el lloc web en línia!
Fets del temps al espai
| Última Flamarada-X | 2024/06/10 | X1.55 |
| Última Flamarada-M | 2024/06/13 | M3.1 |
| Última tempesta geomagnètica | 2024/06/07 | Kp6 (G2) |
| Dies sense taques | |
|---|---|
| Últim dia sense taques | 2022/06/08 |
| Número mensual mitjà de taques solars | |
|---|---|
| de maig 2024 | 171.7 +35.2 |
| de juny 2024 | 165.1 -6.6 |
| Last 30 days | 151.4 -26 |