Visualització de l'arxiu de divendres, 27 d’abril 2007

Informe d'activitat solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe d'activitat Geofísica-Solar 2007 Apr 27 2203 UTC
Preparat pel SWPC NOAA © i processat per SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunt segons USAF / NOAA d’activitat Solar i Geofísica

SDF número 117 emès a 2200Z el Apr 27 2007

IA. Anàlisi de les regions actives solars i de l'activitat de 2100Z-26 a 2100Z-27

Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. Region 953 (S10E49) produced several B-class events during the past 24 hours. As the region has rotated more fully into view, it now appears that the group consists mostly of a large penumbral area which contains opposite magnetic polarities, making the group a beta-delta magnetic classification.
IB. Previsió d'activitat solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next three days (28-30 April), with a slight chance for an isolated M-class event from Region 953.
IIA. Resum d'activitat geofísica del 2100Z-26 al 2100Z-27
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active during the past 24 hours. An initially quiet to unsettled field became unsettled to active with the onset of a high speed solar wind stream around 1500Z. Solar wind velocity increased to about 600 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field showed fluctuations from about -9 nT to +7 nT.
IIB. Previsió d'activitat geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly active with a chance for isolated minor storm periods for the next 24 hours (28 April) as the high speed stream is expected to continue. Unsettled levels with a chance for active periods is expected for the second day (29 April) and conditions should decline to mostly unsettled by the third day (30 April).
III. Probabilitats d’esdeveniments de les Apr del 28 a les Apr del 30
Classe M15%15%15%
Classe X01%01%01%
Protó01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton Flux de 10,7 cm
  Observat       27 Apr 083
  Predit   28 Apr-30 Apr  085/085/085
  Mitjana de 90 dies        27 Apr 074
V. Índexs geomagnètics A
  Observat Afr/Ap 26 Apr  004/006
  Estimat     Afr/Ap 27 Apr  008/012
  Predit    Afr/Ap 28 Apr-30 Apr  020/030-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilitats d’activitat geomagnètica del 28 Apr al 30 Apr
A. Latituds mitjanes
Actiu45%30%15%
Tempesta menor25%15%05%
Tempesta major-severa10%05%01%
B. Latituds altes
Actiu45%30%20%
Tempesta menor30%20%15%
Tempesta major-severa15%10%05%

All times in UTC

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