Viewing archive of Tuesday, 5 October 2004
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2004 Oct 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 279 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Oct 2004IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. A C1.4 flare was observed at
05/0056 UTC from a spotless plage region near S11E75.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Oct to 08 Oct
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Oct 091 Predicted 06 Oct-08 Oct 095/100/105 90 Day Mean 05 Oct 112
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Oct 008/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Oct 005/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Oct to 08 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Friday, 17 May 2024
Let's compare! Halloween 2003 VS May 2024 Solar Storms!
Friday, 17 May 2024
Coronal mass ejection impact, New website feature!
Wednesday, 15 May 2024
More X-flares!
Latest forum messages
AR3664 1090Incoming Active Regions 374Another interesting video 3AR3685 77Latest SC25 Predictions 128
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/05/15 | X2.9 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/05/19 | M1.6 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/05/17 | Kp6 (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| April 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| May 2024 | 157.5 +21 |
| Last 30 days | 168.7 +50.9 |