Viewing archive of Sunday, 1 December 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 01 DEC 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S03W75)
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SMALL FLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A C8/1N
AT 30/2103Z. REGIONS 8001 (S19W68) AND 8002 (S24W18) WERE
NUMBERED.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. ANOTHER SMALL M-CLASS FLARE MAY OCCUR BEFORE 7999 CROSSES
THE WEST LIMB.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 02 DEC to 04 DEC
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 DEC 083 Predicted 02 DEC-04 DEC 080/078/075 90 Day Mean 01 DEC 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 NOV 002/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 DEC 002/002 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 DEC-04 DEC 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 DEC to 04 DEC
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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