Viewing archive of söndag, 22 januari 2012
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2012 Jan 22 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 022 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 22 Jan 2012IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 21-2100Z till 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Regions 1401 (N16W26) and 1402
(N29W23) produced occasional C-class flares. The largest of these
was a C7 at 22/0257Z. Region 1401 showed gradual spot decay during
the period. Gradual trailer spot growth was observed in Region 1402.
No significant changes were observed in the remaining spotted
regions. No new regions were numbered. There was no Earth-directed
CME activity observed during the period.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
during the period (23 - 25 January) with a chance for an isolated
M-class flare from Region 1401 or Region 1402.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 21-2100Z till 22-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to minor storm levels
with brief major storm levels at high latitudes. An interplanetary
shock passed the ACE spacecraft at approximately 22/0514Z, likely
indicating the arrival of the halo-CME observed on 19 January. This
was followed by a geomagnetic sudden impulse (SI) at 22/0614Z (31
nT, Boulder USGS magnetometer). Field activity increased to
unsettled to minor storm levels following the SI.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active
levels on day 1 (23 January) as CME effects gradually subside. Quiet
conditions are expected during days 2 - 3 (24 - 25 January).
III. Chans för solutbrott från 23 Jan till 25 Jan
| M-klass | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 22 Jan 141 Prognoserat 23 Jan-25 Jan 140/140/140 90 Day Mean 22 Jan 143
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 21 Jan 006/006 Förväntat Afr/Ap 22 Jan 013/018 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan 010/012-004/005-004/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 23 Jan till 25 Jan
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 35% | 01% | 01% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 45% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 01% | 01% |
Senaste nytt
måndag, 22 april 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
lördag, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
onsdag, 20 mars 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Senaste inläggen
What are these long and thin eruptions? 9Unspecified geomagnetic activity 947IMF - BT strength 8AR3654 1AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89
Fler foruminläggStöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!
För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!
Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/04/25 | M1.3 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| mars 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 136.2 +28 |