Viewing archive of tisdag, 4 juli 2006
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2006 Jul 04 2203 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 185 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 04 Jul 2006IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 03-2100Z till 04-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 898 (S07W14) produced
two C-class events during the last 24 hours. The first was a C1 at
03/2304Z and the second was a C1 at 04/2029Z. Region 898 does not
appear to be growing and has relatively little magnetic complexity.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (05-07 July).
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 03-2100Z till 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet from the beginning of the period
through 04/1200Z. Conditions were active from 1200-1500Z and
unsettled from 1500-2100Z. The increase in geomagnetic activity was
due to the onset of a high speed coronal hole stream. Solar wind
velocity increased slowly during the past 24 hours and the onset of
wave activity was clearly indicated in the interplanetary magnetic
field measurements.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours (05 July)
as the coronal hole effects are expected to continue. Conditions
should subside to mostly unsettled for 06 July and to quiet to
unsettled for 07 July.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 05 Jul till 07 Jul
| M-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 04 Jul 088 Prognoserat 05 Jul-07 Jul 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 04 Jul 082
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 03 Jul 002/004 Förväntat Afr/Ap 04 Jul 012/020 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 015/020-010/015-007/008
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 05 Jul till 07 Jul
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 05% |
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