Viewing archive of tisdag, 21 mars 2006
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2006 Mar 21 2204 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 080 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 21 Mar 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 862 (S07W39) produced five low level C-class flares; the largest of which was a C2.5 that occurred at 21/0944 UTC. Region 862 has shown little change in area over the last 24 hours and maintains a beta gamma magnetic configuration.IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class flare from Region 862.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 20-2100Z till 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Isolated active periods
were due to continued effects of a coronal hole high speed stream.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 22 and 23 March. On 24 March,
quiet to unsettled conditions with possible isolated active levels
are expected as a coronal hole high speed stream moves into
geoeffective position.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 22 Mar till 24 Mar
| M-klass | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 21 Mar 077 Prognoserat 22 Mar-24 Mar 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 21 Mar 080
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 20 Mar 014/022 Förväntat Afr/Ap 21 Mar 012/010 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 22 Mar-24 Mar 008/008-005/008-008/012
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 22 Mar till 24 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
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