Solar activity was moderate. Region 786 (N12W04) produced an M4.9/Sn flare at 07/1629 UTC. This event also had an associated 180 sfu Tenflare and a full halo CME, which was observed by LASCO imagery. Region 786 has grown in both white light area coverage and sunspot count, and has maintained its magnetic delta configuration. Two other events were observed by LASCO imagery earlier in the period. The first was a faint partial halo event which was first observed at 06/2126 UTC. Data for this event indicates it is probably a back-sided event and not Earth directed. The second event was a CME observed with a possible partial halo beginning around 07/1250 UTC. This event was likely associated with an 11 degree long disappearing filament centered at N07E00 between 07/1033 - 1148 UTC.

Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 786 is capable of producing an isolated M-class event.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels with isolated periods of minor storm conditions. Activity is expected due to possible effects from the CME observed on 05 July, a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream, today's M4 halo CME, and the CME associated with the disappearing filament centered at N07E00.

  Наблюдаемый       07 Jul 125
  Прогнозируемый   08 Jul-10 Jul  120/120/115
  среднее значение за последние 3 месяца        07 Jul 096

  Наблюдаемый Afr/Ap 06 Jul  003/005
  По оценкам     Afr/Ap 07 Jul  005/007
  Прогнозируемый    Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul  015/025-020/030-020/025