Viewing archive of måndag, 2 mars 1998
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 1998 Mar 02 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 061 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 02 MAR 1998IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 01-2100Z till 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8171 (S23W36) CONTINUED
TO GROW IN WHITE LIGHT. SUNSPOT AREA AND NUMBER HAS INCREASED BUT
MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY REMAINS RELATIVELY SIMPLE. THIS REGION HAS
PRODUCED SEVERAL SUBFLARES SINCE YESTERDAY, THE LARGEST BEING A
C1/SF AT 02/1216Z. DUE TO INCLEMENT WEATHER AT THE DOMINION RADIO
ASTROPHYSICAL OBSERVATORY (PENTICTON), TODAY'S NOON 10.7 CM RADIO
FLUX VALUE IS ESTIMATED AS THEIR MORNING (1700Z) READING.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ADDITIONAL C-CLASS FLARES ARE EXPECTED FROM REGION 8171. THE
LIKELIHOOD OF M-CLASS ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE IF DEVELOPMENT
CONTINUES.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 01-2100Z till 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. ACTIVE CONDITIONS
WERE OBSERVED AT MANY LOCATIONS DURING THE 02/0600-0900Z PERIOD. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE AFTER ABOUT 02/1600Z.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 03 MAR till 05 MAR
| M-klass | 05% | 10% | 15% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 02 MAR 092 Prognoserat 03 MAR-05 MAR 100/100/098 90 Day Mean 02 MAR 095
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 MAR 009/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 MAR 012/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 MAR-05 MAR 005/005-010/010-010/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 03 MAR till 05 MAR
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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