What is a coronal hole?

When we look at imagery from SOHO or SDO at a wavelength of 28,4 nanometer, it shows the outer hot layers of the atmosphere of the Sun, to be specific: the corona. The magnetic field of the Sun plays a great part in how we see this image. The bright areas shows us hot and dense gas that's captured by the magnetic field of the Sun. The dark and empty areas are places where the magnetic field of the Sun reaches into space so that hot gas can escape. That's why it's called a coronal hole. They get the dark colour because there isn't enough hot material.

Coronal Hole

The magnetic field around a coronal hole is different than the rest of the Sun. Instead of returning to the surface, these magnetic field lines stay open and stretch out into space. At the moment we do not yet know where they reconnect. Instead of keeping the hot gas together, these open magnetic field lines cause a coronal hole to form, where solar wind can escape at high speeds. When a coronal hole is positioned near the centre of the Earth-facing solar disk, these hot gasses flow to Earth and cause geomagnetic disturbances on Earth with enhanced auroral activity on high latitudes. Depending on the size and location of the coronal hole on the disk, more or less auroral activity can be expected. Coronal holes are usually not interesting for middle latitude sky-watchers and often do not even produce geomagnetic storming conditions. Other than a Coronal Mass Ejection, a Coronal Hole High Speed Stream (CH HSS) arrives slowly with first a steady increase in the solar wind density followed by an increase in solar wind speed while the density is falling.

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Current data suggest that it is not possible to see aurora now at middle latitudes
G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm
Observed Kp: 6o
The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field is slightly South (-9.4nT).
The maximum X-ray flux of the past two hours is:
C1.15

Auroral activity

Live
chance
High latitude 74%
Middle latitude 0%
Low latitude 0%
Today
Minor Severe
High latitude 20% 30%
Middle latitude 30% 10%
Predicted Kp max 6

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm (Kp 6o) - High latitude sky watchers have a high chance to see visual aurora. The higher middle latitudes have a good chance to see visible aurora on the northern or southern horizon, depending on which hemisphere you are located. There is also a slight chance for weak aurora on the horizon at the lower middle latitudes but the chances are still low.
Strong M3.97 solar flare from sunspot region 12146
Moderate M2 solar flare from sunspot region 12146

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Last X-flare:2014/06/11X1.0
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Last geomagnetic storm:2014/08/19Kp6 (G2)

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