OVATION Auroral Forecast

This model gives a short-term forecast of the intensity of the auroral oval for both the northern and the southern hemisphere. It is based on the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) conditions as measured by the ACE spacecraft. The map shows the intensity and the location of the auroral oval for the time given in the right-hand corner of the map. Locations up to 1.000 kilometers (600 miles) north or south of the auroral oval might still see aurora near their horizon during optimal viewing conditions. This model does not take into account the local weather or the altitude of the Sun at your location.

Northern hemisphere

OVATION Auroral Forecast

Southern hemisphere

OVATION Auroral Forecast

Caution! This model is driven by solar wind data from the ACE satellite. When the high-energy protons levels get high enough, the ACE solar wind sensors become contaminated and the OVATION model will use an alternative estimate of the solar wind forcing which could result in a less accurate forecast.

What are the odds that I can see overhead aurora from my location?

North America
Canada Canada
Calgary, AB 0%
Edmonton, AB 0%
Gillam, MB 7%
Halifax, NS 0%
Iqaluit, NU 6%
Montreal, QC 0%
Ottawa, ON 0%
Quebec City, QC 0%
Saskatoon, SK 0%
St. John's, NL 0%
Thunder Bay, ON 0%
Toronto, ON 0%
Vancouver, BC 0%
Whitehorse, YT 10%
Winnipeg, MB 0%
Yellowknife, NT 22%
Cuba Cuba
Havana 0%
Greenland Greenland
Nuuk 7%
Mexico Mexico
Mexico City 0%
Monterrey 0%
United States United States
Albuquerque, NM 0%
Anchorage, AK 7%
Atlanta, GA 0%
Augusta, ME 0%
Barrow, AK 22%
Billings, MT 0%
Biose, ID 0%
Bismarck, ND 0%
Boston, MA 0%
Casper, WY 0%
Chicago, IL 0%
Columbus, OH 0%
Dallas, TX 0%
Denver, CO 0%
Fairbanks, AK 21%
Great Falls, MT 0%
Indianapolis, IN 0%
Jackson, MS 0%
Juneau, AK 0%
Las Vegas, NV 0%
Lincoln, NE 0%
Little Rock, AR 0%
Los Angeles, CA 0%
Miami, FL 0%
Minneapolis, MN 0%
Montpelier, VT 0%
Nashville, TN 0%
New York City, NY 0%
Portland, OR 0%
Richmond, VA 0%
Salt Lake City, UT 0%
San Francisco, CA 0%
Seattle, WA 0%
St. Louis, MO 0%
Washington, D.C. 0%
Europe and Asia
Austria Austria
Vienna 0%
Belarus Belarus
Minsk 0%
Belgium Belgium
Brussels 0%
China China
Beijing 0%
Harbin 0%
Hulunbuir 0%
Ürümqi 0%
Czech Republic Czech Republic
Brno 0%
Prague 0%
Denmark Denmark
Aalborg 0%
Aarhus 0%
Copenhagen 0%
Estonia Estonia
Tallinn 0%
Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
Tórshavn 0%
Finland Finland
Helsinki 0%
Oulu 4%
Rovaniemi 7%
Tampere 0%
Turku 0%
France France
Lyon 0%
Marseille 0%
Nantes 0%
Nice 0%
Paris 0%
Toulouse 0%
Germany Germany
Berlin 0%
Cologne 0%
Frankfurt 0%
Hamburg 0%
Munich 0%
Greece Greece
Athens 0%
Hungary Hungary
Budapest 0%
Iceland Iceland
Reykjavik 7%
Ireland Ireland
Dublin 0%
Italy Italy
Milan 0%
Naples 0%
Rome 0%
Turin 0%
Japan Japan
Tokyo 0%
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
Astana 0%
Latvia Latvia
Riga 0%
Lithuania Lithuania
Vilnius 0%
Mongolia Mongolia
Ulan Bator 0%
Netherlands Netherlands
Amsterdam 0%
Norway Norway
Bergen 0%
Kirkenes 14%
Oslo 0%
Tromsø 15%
Trondheim 2%
Poland Poland
Gdańsk 0%
Krakow 0%
Warsaw 0%
Portugal Portugal
Lisbon 0%
Porto 0%
Romania Romania
Bucharest 0%
Russia Russia
Arkhangelsk 1%
Irkutsk 0%
Kazan 0%
Moscow 0%
Murmansk 12%
Novosibirsk 0%
Perm 0%
Saint Petersburg 0%
Vladivostok 0%
Yekaterinburg 0%
Slovenia Slovenia
Ljubljana 0%
Slovakia Slovakia
Bratislava 0%
South Korea South Korea
Seoul 0%
Spain Spain
Barcelona 0%
Madrid 0%
Sweden Sweden
Gothenburg 0%
Kiruna 12%
Luleå 6%
Malmö 0%
Stockholm 0%
Sundsvall 0%
Umeå 3%
Switzerland Switzerland
Bern 0%
United Kingdom United Kingdom
Belfast 0%
Birmingham 0%
Edinburgh 0%
London 0%
Manchester 0%
Ukraine Ukraine
Dnipropetrovsk 0%
Donetsk 0%
Kharkiv 0%
Kiev 0%
Southern Hemisphere
Argentina Argentina
Buenos Aires 0%
Comodoro Rivadavia 0%
Ushuaia 0%
Australia Australia
Adelaide 0%
Alice Springs 0%
Brisbane 0%
Devonport 0%
Hobart 0%
Melbourne 0%
Perth 0%
Sydney 0%
Chile Chile
Concepcion 0%
Punta Arenas 0%
New Zealand New Zealand
Auckland 0%
Christchurch 0%
Dunedin 0%
Invercargill 0%
Wellington 0%
South Africa South Africa
Capetown 0%
Durban 0%
Uruguay Uruguay
Montevideo 0%
Current data suggest that it is not possible to see aurora now at middle latitudes

Latest news

Today's space weather

Auroral activity
Minor Severe
High latitude 30% 50%
Middle latitude 15% 1%
Predicted Kp max 5
Solar activity
M-class solar flare 35%
X-class solar flare 5%
B9.6 C1.3 C1.1 C3.4 C1.0 C6.9 C1.4

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21%

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2015/05/05X2.7
Last M-flare:2016/02/13M1.8
Last geomagnetic storm:2016/02/08Kp5 (G1)

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*since 1994