查看星期五, 7 3月 2003歷史檔案

太陽活動報表

本報告中提到的任何太陽耀斑都有太空天氣預報中心(SWPC) 應用的比例因子。由於 SWPC 比例因子,據報導太陽耀斑比科學質量數據小 42%。比例因子已從我們存檔的太陽耀斑資料中刪除,以反映真實的物理單位。
太陽地球物理活動報告 2003 Mar 07 2200 UTC
由美國國家海洋暨大氣總署 NOAA 及 太空天氣預測中心 SWPC 複製並編製,並由 ©SpaceWeatherLive.com 處理

美國空軍/美國國家海洋暨大氣總署太陽與地球物理活動聯合報告

SDF 編號 066 在 07 Mar 2003 上以 2200Z 發行

IA. 太陽活動區域和 06-2100Z到 07-2100Z的活動分析

Solar activity continued at very low levels. Region 296 (N13W18), a relatively large and moderately complex region, has been dormant for the duration of its transit on the visible disk. This region was in a slow decay phase over the past few days, but still shows some complexity. Region 301 (N22W05) though small, is in a slow growth phase, and exhibited considerable plage fluctuations and minor surging throughout the period. Newly numbered Region 306 (N05E76) rotated into view this period; a relatively large sunspot group is evident, but limb proximity hinders a more thorough analysis. This region was the likely source of a large CME observed off the NE limb early on 6 March. Three other new sunspot groups emerged today and were numbered as 303 (S18W47), 304 (S13W16), and 305 (S22E27).
IB. 太陽活動預報
Solar activity is expected to be low. Regions 296, 301, and 306 all have potential for C-class flares. There is a slight chance for an M-class flare from Regions 296 and 306.
IIA. 地球物理活動摘要 06-2100Z 至 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Isolated active periods were observed during local nighttime hours at all latitudes. The high speed coronal hole stream responsible for the disturbed periods over the past few days has gradually declined to near normal levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. 地球物理活動預報
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible at mostly higher latitudes.
III. 事件機率 08 Mar 至 10 Mar
M級15%20%20%
X級01%01%01%
質子01%01%01%
碳核算金融聯盟green
IV. 彭迪克頓10.7厘米通量
  觀測的       07 Mar 150
  預測的   08 Mar-10 Mar  155/160/160
  90天平均值        07 Mar 142
V. 地磁 A 指數
  觀測的 Afr/Ap 06 Mar  015/025
  估算值     Afr/Ap 07 Mar  012/012
  預測的    Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar  010/012-010/012-008/010
VI. 地磁活動機率 08 Mar 至 10 Mar
A. 中緯度
可見25%20%20%
小風暴05%01%01%
特大強風暴01%01%01%
B. 高緯度
可見30%25%25%
小風暴05%05%05%
特大強風暴01%01%01%

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

<< 回到每日概觀

最新新聞

請支持 SpaceWeatherLive.com!

有非常多網友來到SpaceWeatherLive追蹤太陽活動,或確認是否能看見極光,但隨著網站流量增長,維持伺服器的費用也越來越高。如果你喜愛SpaceWeatherLive,可以考慮捐贈維護費用,如此我們可以一起讓網站持續上線!

98%
透過購買我們的商品來支持SpaceWeatherLive
查看我們的商品

最新警報

取得即時警報

太空天氣大事紀

上一個 X-閃焰16/07/2024X2
上一個 M-閃焰23/07/2024M2.4
上一個 地球磁爆28/06/2024Kp8- (G4)
無黑子天數
上一個無黑子日08/06/2022
黑子數月平均
6月 2024164.2 -7.5
7月 2024186.6 +22.4
過去 30 天內180.1 +31.1

歷史上的今天*

太陽閃焰
12002X6.98
22016X1.09
32016M7.91
42016M7.18
52004M3.23
DstG
12004-99G2
21981-89G2
31974-73G3
42015-72G1
52000-67G2
*始於1994

社群網站