查看星期四, 7 9月 2000歷史檔案

太陽活動報表

本報告中提到的任何太陽耀斑都有太空天氣預報中心(SWPC) 應用的比例因子。由於 SWPC 比例因子,據報導太陽耀斑比科學質量數據小 42%。比例因子已從我們存檔的太陽耀斑資料中刪除,以反映真實的物理單位。
太陽地球物理活動報告 2000 Sep 07 2200 UTC
由美國國家海洋暨大氣總署 NOAA 及 太空天氣預測中心 SWPC 複製並編製,並由 ©SpaceWeatherLive.com 處理

美國空軍/美國國家海洋暨大氣總署太陽與地球物理活動聯合報告

SDF 編號 251 在 07 SEP 2000 上以 2200Z 發行

IA. 太陽活動區域和 06-2100Z到 07-2100Z的活動分析

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT OF THE DAY WAS IN PROGRESS AT THE END OF THIS REPORTING PERIOD: A C7.2 LONG DURATION FLARE AT 07/2055 UTC, WITH AN ASSOCIATED TYPE-II RADIO SWEEP, AND PRELIMINARY REPORTS OF ASSOCIATED TYPE-IV RADIO SWEEP. NO CORRELATED OPTICAL REPORTS WERE AVAILABLE, ALTHOUGH PRELIMINARY INFORMATION INDICATES THE SOURCE OF THIS ACTIVITY AS REGION 9151 (N12W47). AVAILABLE INFORMATION IS PRESENTLY INSUFFICIENT TO GAUGE THE GEOEFFECTIVE POTENTIAL OF THIS EVENT AT THIS TIME. REGION 9151 ALSO PRODUCED A C4.4/SF FLARE EARLIER IN THE DAY, AT 07/1115 UTC, AND HAS EXHIBITED SOME GROWTH SINCE YESTERDAY. C-CLASS ACTIVITY WAS ALSO OBSERVED FROM REGION 9149 (S15W62). TWO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY: 9158 (N30E70) AND 9159 (S19E31).
IB. 太陽活動預報
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGIONS 9149 AND 9154 (S18W35) REMAIN POTENTIAL SOURCES OF M-CLASS ACTIVITY. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH AN ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIOD OBSERVED AT HIGHER LATITUDES.
IIB. 地球物理活動預報
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH ACTIVE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS ON DAY ONE, AS THE DISTURBANCE WHICH COMMENCED YESTERDAY SUBSIDES. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE PRESENTLY EXPECTED THROUGH DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. 事件機率 08 SEP 至 10 SEP
M級30%30%30%
X級05%05%05%
質子05%05%05%
碳核算金融聯盟GREEN
IV. 彭迪克頓10.7厘米通量
  觀測的       07 SEP 173
  預測的   08 SEP-10 SEP  180/180/175
  90天平均值        07 SEP 181
V. 地磁 A 指數
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 SEP  011/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 SEP  015/018
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 SEP-10 SEP  015/015-012/012-010/010
VI. 地磁活動機率 08 SEP 至 10 SEP
A. 中緯度
可見30%25%25%
小風暴20%10%10%
特大強風暴10%05%05%
B. 高緯度
可見35%30%30%
小風暴25%15%15%
特大強風暴05%05%05%

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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