查看星期六, 15 7月 2000歷史檔案

太陽活動報表

本報告中提到的任何太陽耀斑都有太空天氣預報中心(SWPC) 應用的比例因子。由於 SWPC 比例因子,據報導太陽耀斑比科學質量數據小 42%。比例因子已從我們存檔的太陽耀斑資料中刪除,以反映真實的物理單位。
太陽地球物理活動報告 2000 Jul 15 2200 UTC
由美國國家海洋暨大氣總署 NOAA 及 太空天氣預測中心 SWPC 複製並編製,並由 ©SpaceWeatherLive.com 處理

美國空軍/美國國家海洋暨大氣總署太陽與地球物理活動聯合報告

SDF 編號 197 在 15 JUL 2000 上以 2200Z 發行

IA. 太陽活動區域和 14-2100Z到 15-2100Z的活動分析

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 9077 (N18W21) PRODUCED AN M1/SF X-RAY EVENT AT 15/0833Z. WHILE THE REGION HAS SHOWN SOME SLIGHT DECAY IN AREA, THE NUMBER OF SUNSPOTS SLIGHTLY INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY AND THE REGION HAS MAINTAINED A COMPLEX BETA-GAMMA-DELTA MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION. SEVERAL MINOR C-CLASS EVENTS ALSO OCCURRED FROM REGION 9077 AND 9085 (N14E33). A TYPE II SWEEP OCCURRED AT 15/1433Z WITH NO X-RAY CORRELATION. THE TYPE II SPEED WAS 788 KM/S. NEW REGION 9089 (N18E41) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. 太陽活動預報
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE TO HIGH. REGION 9077 REMAINS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ANOTHER MAJOR EVENT.
IIA. 地球物理活動摘要 14-2100Z 至 15-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM UNSETTLED TO SEVERE STORM LEVELS. THE SUDDEN STORM COMMENCMENT BEGAN AT 15/1440Z. THIS STORM IS RELATED TO THE X5/3B EVENT ON 14 JULY. THE GREATER THAN 10 MEV PROTON EVENT HAS SO FAR REACHED A PEAK OF 24000 PFU'S AT 15/1230Z. THE GREATER THAN 100 MEV PROTON EVENT, STILL IN PROGRESS, HAS DECLINED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. A MODERATE (8.2 PERCENT) FORBUSH DECREASE,WAS OBSERVED ON THE THULE, GREENLAND NEUTRON MONITOR. THE PCA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVENT BEGAN AT ABOUT 14/1041Z , PEAKED AT 49.0 DB, AND REMAINS IN PROGRESS. MULTIPLE SHORT DURATION MAGNETOPAUSE CROSSINGS WERE OBSERVED ON GOES-8 (W074), BEGINNING 15/1555Z AND CONTINUING THROUGH 15/2100Z.
IIB. 地球物理活動預報
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM MINOR TO SEVERE STORM LEVELS, AND THE HIGHER LATITUDES WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MAJOR TO SEVERE STORM CONDITIONS DURING THE FIRST DAY OF THE PERIOD. THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO START DECREASING ON THE SECOND DAY AND PREDOMINATELY RANGE FROM UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
III. 事件機率 16 JUL 至 18 JUL
M級80%80%80%
X級35%35%35%
質子99%99%99%
碳核算金融聯盟IN PROGRESS
IV. 彭迪克頓10.7厘米通量
  觀測的       15 JUL 213
  預測的   16 JUL-18 JUL  205/200/195
  90天平均值        15 JUL 184
V. 地磁 A 指數
OBSERVED AFR/AP 14 JUL  033/035
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 JUL  080/120
PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 JUL-18 JUL  100/130-050/060-020/020
VI. 地磁活動機率 16 JUL 至 18 JUL
A. 中緯度
可見10%20%40%
小風暴20%25%30%
特大強風暴70%50%15%
B. 高緯度
可見10%15%35%
小風暴10%20%40%
特大強風暴80%60%20%

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

<< 回到每日概觀

最新新聞

請支持 SpaceWeatherLive.com!

有非常多網友來到SpaceWeatherLive追蹤太陽活動,或確認是否能看見極光,但隨著網站流量增長,維持伺服器的費用也越來越高。如果你喜愛SpaceWeatherLive,可以考慮捐贈維護費用,如此我們可以一起讓網站持續上線!

74%
透過購買我們的商品來支持SpaceWeatherLive
查看我們的商品

最新警報

取得即時警報

太空天氣大事紀

上一個 X-閃焰29/05/2024X1.4
上一個 M-閃焰29/05/2024M5.6
上一個 地球磁爆17/05/2024Kp6 (G2)
無黑子天數
上一個無黑子日08/06/2022
黑子數月平均
4月 2024136.5 +31.6
5月 2024146.7 +10.2
Last 30 days146.7 +8.6

歷史上的今天*

太陽閃焰
12002M2.31
22002M1.98
32023M1.4
42023M1.3
51999M1.25
ApG
1193266G4
2200590G4
3200359G3
4194936G3
5196742G2
*始於1994

社群網站