Arşiv Çarşamba, 4 Kasım 1998 görüntüleniyor

Güneş aktivite raporu

Bu raporda bahsedilen herhangi bir güneş lekesi, Uzay Hava Tahmin Merkezi (SWPC) tarafından uygulanan bir ölçekleme faktörüne sahiptir. SWPC ölçekleme faktörü nedeniyle güneş lekeleri, bilimsel kalitedeki verilere göre %42 daha küçük olarak rapor edilmektedir. Ölçekleme faktörü, arşivlenmiş güneş lekesi verilerimizden kaldırılmıştır, bu da gerçek fiziksel birimleri yansıtmaktadır.
Solar-Jeofizik Aktivite Raporu 1998 Nov 04 2200 UTC
NOAA © SWPC tarafından hazırlanmış ve SpaceWeatherLive.com tarafından işlenmiştir.

USAF/NOAA Ortak Güneş ve Jeofizik Aktivite Raporu

SDF Numarası 308, 04 NOV 1998 üzerinden 2200Z'de Verildi

IA. 03-2100Z'den 04-2100Z'ye Solar Aktif Bölgelerin ve Aktivitenin Analizi

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OVERALL THE AMOUNT OF ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED APPRECIABLY SINCE YESTERDAY. REGION 8375 (N18W07) HAS BEEN THE MOST ACTIVE REGION PRODUCING SIX C-CLASS FLARES AS WELL AS SEVERAL OPTICAL SUBFLARES AND ONE 1N OPTICAL FLARE. A FULL HALO CME WAS OBSERVED BY THE LASCO/SOHO SATELLITE AT 04/0418UT. THIS WAS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A C5/SF PRODUCED BY REGION 8375. REGION 8375 IS THE LARGEST AND MOST COMPLEX REGION ON THE SUN. CURRENTLY A DAI, BETA-GAMMA SPOT GROUP. THIS REGION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN SIZE AND THE SPOT COUNT HAS INCREASED FROM 22 TO 28. OTHER ACTIVE REGIONS ARE 8376 (S27E15), 8378 (N14E63) AND 8379 (S18W28) ALL OF WHICH PRODUCED AN OPTICAL SUBFLARE. REGION 8379 IS A NEW NUMBERED REGION WITH A 5 SPOT CRO, BETA SPOT GROUP. ONE OTHER REGION WAS NUMBERED: 8380 (S20E65) WITH AN AXX, ALPHA SPOT.
IB. Güneş Aktivite Tahmini
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARING FROM REGION 8375.
IIA. Jeofiziksel Aktivite Özeti 03-2100Z ila 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Jeofiziksel Aktivite Tahmini
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH POSSIBLE ACTIVE PERIODS. THE CAUSE FOR THE POTENTIAL INCREASE IN GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS DUE TO A PARTIAL HALO CME THAT WAS OBSERVED BY THE LASCO/SOHO SATELLITE ON 02/1354UT. THIS WAS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A C1/N1 FLARE IN REGION 8376 LOCATED AT S25E44 AT THAT TIME. THE FULL HALO CME OBSERVED TODAY AT 04/0418UT COULD POSSIBLY CAUSE GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY LATE ON NOVEMBER 6TH OR ON NOVEMBER 7TH.
III. Olay Olasılıkları 05 NOV ila 07 NOV
M Sınıfı30%30%30%
X Sınıfı10%10%10%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Akı
  Gözlemlendi       04 NOV 141
  Tahmin edildi   05 NOV-07 NOV  145/150/150
  90 Günlük Ortalama        04 NOV 132
V. Jeomanyetik A Endeksi
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 NOV  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 NOV  ???/???
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 NOV-07 NOV  020/???-020/???-010/???
VI. Jeomanyetik Aktivite Olasılıkları 05 NOV ila 07 NOV
A. Orta Enlemler
Aktif35%35%15%
Küçük fırtına15%15%05%
Büyük-şiddetli fırtına01%01%01%
B. Yüksek Enlemler
Aktif50%50%20%
Küçük fırtına25%25%15%
Büyük-şiddetli fırtına01%01%01%
From [email protected] Wed Nov 4 17:41:46 1998 Received: by proton.sel.noaa.gov (1.37.109.18/16.2) id AA229939306; Wed, 4 Nov 1998 17:41:46 -0500 Return-Path: Date: Wed, 4 Nov 1998 22:40:04 GMT From: Space Environment Center Message-Id: <[email protected]> To: [email protected] Subject: RSGA Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Sender: [email protected] Precedence: bulk :Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity :Issued: 1998 Nov 04 2240 UT # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVIT : : : : : : : CORRECTED COPY : : : : : : : : : : : : : : SDF Numarası 308, 04 NOV 1998 üzerinden 2200Z'de Verildi

IA. 03-2100Z'den 04-2100Z'ye Solar Aktif Bölgelerin ve Aktivitenin Analizi

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OVERALL THE AMOUNT OF ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED APPRECIABLY SINCE YESTERDAY. REGION 8375 (N18W07) HAS BEEN THE MOST ACTIVE REGION PRODUCING SIX C-CLASS FLARES AS WELL AS SEVERAL OPTICAL SUBFLARES AND ONE 1N OPTICAL FLARE. A FULL HALO CME WAS OBSERVED BY THE LASCO/SOHO SATELLITE AT 04/0418UT. THIS WAS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A C5/SF PRODUCED BY REGION 8375. REGION 8375 IS THE LARGEST AND MOST COMPLEX REGION ON THE SUN. CURRENTLY A DAI, BETA-GAMMA SPOT GROUP. THIS REGION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN SIZE AND THE SPOT COUNT HAS INCREASED FROM 22 TO 28. OTHER ACTIVE REGIONS ARE 8376 (S27E15), 8378 (N14E63) AND 8379 (S18W28) ALL OF WHICH PRODUCED AN OPTICAL SUBFLARE. REGION 8379 IS A NEW NUMBERED REGION WITH A 5 SPOT CRO, BETA SPOT GROUP. ONE OTHER REGION WAS NUMBERED: 8380 (S20E65) WITH AN AXX, ALPHA SPOT.
IB. Güneş Aktivite Tahmini
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARING FROM REGION 8375.
IIA. Jeofiziksel Aktivite Özeti 03-2100Z ila 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Jeofiziksel Aktivite Tahmini
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH POSSIBLE ACTIVE PERIODS. THE CAUSE FOR THE POTENTIAL INCREASE IN GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS DUE TO A PARTIAL HALO CME THAT WAS OBSERVED BY THE LASCO/SOHO SATELLITE ON 02/1354UT. THIS WAS IN CONJUNCTION WITH A C1/N1 FLARE IN REGION 8376 LOCATED AT S25E44 AT THAT TIME. THE FULL HALO CME OBSERVED TODAY AT 04/0418UT COULD POSSIBLY CAUSE GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY LATE ON NOVEMBER 6TH OR ON NOVEMBER 7TH.
III. Olay Olasılıkları 05 NOV ila 07 NOV
M Sınıfı30%30%30%
X Sınıfı10%10%10%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Akı
  Gözlemlendi       04 NOV 141
  Tahmin edildi   05 NOV-07 NOV  145/150/150
  90 Günlük Ortalama        04 NOV 132
V. Jeomanyetik A Endeksi
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 NOV  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 NOV  7/7
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 NOV-07 NOV  20/12-20/15-15/10
VI. Jeomanyetik Aktivite Olasılıkları 05 NOV ila 07 NOV
A. Orta Enlemler
Aktif35%35%15%
Küçük fırtına15%15%05%
Büyük-şiddetli fırtına01%01%01%
B. Yüksek Enlemler
Aktif50%50%20%
Küçük fırtına25%25%15%
Büyük-şiddetli fırtına01%01%01%

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