Viewing archive of fredag, 13 juli 2012
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2012 Jul 13 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 195 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 13 Jul 2012IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Region 1521 (S21W34) has been the most active region,
producing multiple low-level C-class events. Region 1520 (S16W23)
has decayed in area but remains the most magnetically complex region
on the disk, still classified as a beta-gamma-delta. The other four
numbered active sunspot regions have remained quiet and rather
stable. A CME was observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 13/0224Z. After
analysis, the CME was determined to not be geoeffective.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels for the next three days (14-16 July), as
Regions 1520 and 1521 continue to evolve and rotate toward the west
limb.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 12-2100Z till 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels with a slight chance
for isolated periods at major storm levels on day one (14 July), due
the arrival of the 12 July CME. Unsettled to active levels with a
chance for minor storm periods are expected on day two (15 July), as
effects of the CME continue. A return to predominantly quiet levels
is expected on day three (16 July).
III. Chans för solutbrott från 14 Jul till 16 Jul
| M-klass | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| X-klass | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Proton | 99% | 99% | 50% |
| PCAF | red | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 13 Jul 147 Prognoserat 14 Jul-16 Jul 145/135/125 90 Day Mean 13 Jul 128
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 12 Jul 011/014 Förväntat Afr/Ap 13 Jul 003/003 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul 017/034-014/018-004/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 14 Jul till 16 Jul
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 35% | 05% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 15% | 15% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 15% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 60% | 20% | 05% |
Senaste nytt
lördag, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
onsdag, 20 mars 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
torsdag, 22 februari 2024
X6.3 solar flare
Senaste inläggen
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 904Growth of Cycle 25 417GONG Farside Images added to the SWL site? 3Changelog/Featurelog 152Imagery from Total Solar Eclipse 08/04/2024 5
Fler foruminläggStöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!
För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!
Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/04/19 | M1.0 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/04/16 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| mars 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |