Viewing archive of lördag, 2 juni 2001
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2001 Jun 02 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 153 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 02 Jun 2001IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 01-2100Z till 02-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9484 (S06E22)
produced several optical flares, the largest being a C1.3/Sf at
02/0019 UTC. This region has exhibited growth in size, spot count
and plage intensity, and is currently in a Dao/beta-gamma
configuration. Two new regions were numbered today: 9486 (N28W08)
and 9487 (N20E75). New Region 9486 has emerged rapidly in a
Dao/beta configuration, but has not yet produced any notable flare
activity.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly low. A chance for isolated moderate flare activity
exists for Regions 9484 and 9486.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 01-2100Z till 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels.
The onset of high speed stream effects from a favorably positioned
coronal hole have been evident over the last 24 hours. Minor storm
conditions were observed during 02/0000-0300 UTC.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled, with isolated active conditions possible
through June 3, while coronal hole effects remain in progress.
Activity is expected to taper off through June 4 and 5, to mainly
quiet to unsettled conditions.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 03 Jun till 05 Jun
| M-klass | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| X-klass | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 02 Jun 134 Prognoserat 03 Jun-05 Jun 137/140/145 90 Day Mean 02 Jun 169
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 01 Jun 009/011 Förväntat Afr/Ap 02 Jun 020/023 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 012/015-012/012-010/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 03 Jun till 05 Jun
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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