Viewing archive of torsdag, 1 juni 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Jun 01 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 153 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 01 JUN 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 31-2100Z till 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. NEWLY NUMBERED REGION
9026 (N19E75) PRODUCED AN M2/1F TENFLARE AT 0617Z AS WELL AS
NUMEROUS LESSER-SIZED EVENTS. THIS REGION IS THE LIKELY SOURCE OF
THE EARLIER CME ACTIVITY SEEN BEYOND THE NE LIMB DURING THE PAST FEW
DAYS. IT IS THE PROBABLE RETURN OF OLD REGION 9006, BORN ON THE
DISK JUST PRIOR TO ITS WEST LIMB PASSAGE ON MAY 18. REGION 9024
(S17E16) EXHIBITED SOME GROWTH, AND ALSO PRODUCED A C8/2B TENFLARE
AT 0732Z. NEW REGION 9027 (N20E04) WAS ALSO NUMBERED TODAY. ACTIVE
REGIONS ELSEWHERE ON THE DISK WERE QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 31-2100Z till 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. WEAK SUBSTORMS OCCURRED
DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIME HOURS. THE RADIAL SPEED OF THE SOLAR WIND
FELL FROM 550 TO 450 KM/S. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS HIGH.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 02 JUN till 04 JUN
| M-klass | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 01 JUN 148 Prognoserat 02 JUN-04 JUN 155/160/160 90 Day Mean 01 JUN 191
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 MAY 009/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUN 008/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUN-04 JUN 010/010-010/008-005/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 02 JUN till 04 JUN
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/04/25 | M1.0 |
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| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
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|---|---|
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