Viewing archive of söndag, 12 mars 2000
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2000 Mar 12 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 072 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 12 MAR 2000IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 11-2100Z till 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENTS OF THE
PERIOD WERE A C6/SF FROM REGION 8904 (N23W59), AND A C6/1F FROM
REGION 8898 (S13W59). BOTH FLARES EXHIBITED MINOR MULTI-FREQUENCY
RADIO BURSTS. REGIONS 8904 AND 8906 (S15E18) PRODUCED SEVERAL
SMALLER C-CLASS EVENTS. REGION 8906 REMAINS THE LARGEST REGION ON
THE VISIBLE DISK AND NOW EXCEEDS 800 MILLIONTHS OF WHITE LIGHT AREA.
A MAGNETIC DELTA CONFIGURATION AND MODERATE TO STRONG GRADIENTS ARE
ALSO APPARENT. REMAINING REGIONS WERE STABLE.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE. REGION 8906 WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING C-CLASS X-RAY ACTIVITY
WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR AN M-CLASS EVENT. MOSTLY C-CLASS ACTIVITY
WITH AN ISOLATED CHANCE FOR AN M-CLASS EVENT, EXPECTED FROM REGIONS
8898 AND 8904 AS THEY APPROACH THE WEST LIMB.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 11-2100Z till 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD BEGAN THE PERIOD AT QUIET LEVELS BUT WAS
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE SINCE. ISOLATED MINOR STORMING PERIODS WERE ALSO
OBSERVED AT HIGH LATITUDES.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS. ISOLATED MINOR
STORMING PERIODS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AGAIN, MOSTLY AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 13 MAR till 15 MAR
| M-klass | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| X-klass | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 12 MAR 203 Prognoserat 13 MAR-15 MAR 200/195/190 90 Day Mean 12 MAR 175
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 MAR 007/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 MAR 015/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 MAR-15 MAR 012/010-010/010-005/010
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 13 MAR till 15 MAR
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 50% | 40% | 20% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 60% | 50% | 30% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 10% | 05% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/04/19 | M2.1 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/04/16 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| mars 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |