Vizualizarea arhivei de sâmbătă, 27 iulie 2002

Raport de activitate solară

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Raport de activitate solar-geofizică 2002 Jul 27 2200 UTC
Pregătit de NOAA © SWPC și procesat de SpaceWeatherLive.com

Raport comun USAF/NOAA privind activitatea solară și geofizică

Numărul SDF 208 Emis la 2200Z la 27 Jul 2002

IA. Analiza regiunilor active solare și a activității de la 26-2100Z la 27-2100Z

Solar activity increased to high levels. Region 44 (S22E03) produced two major flares early in the period: an M8/2n at 26/2112 UTC and an M5 at 26/2217 UTC, both associated with moderate to strong discrete radio bursts. The M8 flare was also associated with a full-halo CME. Both major flares occurred along the magnetic neutral line separating Regions 44 and 39 (S16E07). Some decay was observed in the leader spots of Region 44, but it remained large and magnetically complex with a magnetic delta configuration evident within its intermediate spots. Region 39 produced isolated C-class flares including a C9/Sf at 27/0212 UTC. It also remained large and complex, but changed little during the period. Strong magnetic delta configurations persisted within its leading and trailing spots. Region 45 (N06W25) was in a growth phase and displayed minor polarity mixing. New Region 51 (S17E65) was assigned.
IB. Prognoza activității solare
Solar activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels. Isolated M-class flares are expected from Regions 39 and 44. There is also a fair chance for a major flare from either of these regions.
IIA. Rezumatul activității geofizice 26-2100Z la 27-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at unsettled to active levels during most of the period. This activity may have been due to a weak high-speed solar wind stream. The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began at 22/0655 UTC ended at 27/0320 UTC. The maximum flux for this event was 28 pfu at 23/1025 UTC.
IIB. Prognoza activității geofizice
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled levels at the start of the period. Activity is expected to increase to active to major storm levels beginning late on 28 July as today's halo CME reaches Earth. This disturbance is expected to subside to mostly unsettled levels by 30 July. There is a chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event during the period.
III. Probabilități de eveniment 28 Jul până la 30 Jul
Clasa M80%80%80%
Clasa X30%30%30%
Proton20%20%20%
PCAFyellow
IV. Flux de Penticton 10,7 cm
  Observat       27 Jul 231
  Prevăzut   28 Jul-30 Jul  230/225/220
  Media 90 de zile        27 Jul 164
V. Indici geomagnetici A
  Observat Afr/Ap 26 Jul  010/017
  Estimat(ă)     Afr/Ap 27 Jul  013/017
  Prevăzut    Afr/Ap 28 Jul-30 Jul  010/012-025/030-018/020
VI. Probabilități de activitate geomagnetică 28.Jul până la 30.Jul
A. Latitudinile mijlocii
Activ30%40%30%
Furtună minoră10%20%10%
Furtună major-severă01%10%05%
B. Latitudini înalte
Activ35%45%35%
Furtună minoră15%25%15%
Furtună major-severă01%15%10%

Toate orele în UTC

<< Accesați pagina de prezentare zilnică

Cele mai recente noutăți

Sprijină SpaceWeatherLive.com!

O mulțime de oameni vin la SpaceWeatherLive pentru a urmări activitatea Soarelui sau dacă există aurora de văzut, dar cu mai mult trafic vin costuri mai mari ale serverului. Luați în considerare o donație dacă vă place SpaceWeatherLive, astfel încât să putem menține site-ul online!

98%
Sprijină SpaceWeatherLive cu marfa noastră
Verificați marfa noastră

Date despre vremea spațială

Ultima erupție clasa X10.06.2024X1.55
Ultima erupție clasa M11.07.2024M1.21
Ultima furtună geomagnetică28.06.2024Kp8- (G4)
Zile fără pată
Ultima zi fără pată solară08.06.2022
Numărul mediu lunar al petelor solare
iunie 2024164.2 -7.5
iulie 2024150.2 -14
Last 30 days152.1 +0.5

Această zi din istorie*

Erupții solare
12004M9.71
22004M8.9
32004M7.77
42005M7.27
52005M4.59
DstG
11991-183G4
21982-178G5
31984-88G3
41961-77G4
52015-68G2
*din 1994

Rețele sociale