Vizualizarea arhivei de duminică, 07 iulie 2002

Raport de activitate solară

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Raport de activitate solar-geofizică 2002 Jul 07 2200 UTC
Pregătit de NOAA © SWPC și procesat de SpaceWeatherLive.com

Raport comun USAF/NOAA privind activitatea solară și geofizică

Numărul SDF 188 Emis la 2200Z la 07 Jul 2002

IA. Analiza regiunilor active solare și a activității de la 06-2100Z la 07-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. A long duration M1.0 flare occurred during 07/1114-1143-1317 UTC. Imagery from SOHO/LASCO revealed a fast partial halo CME off the southwest limb in association with this event, possibly from old Region 17 (S18, L=235) behind the west limb. This event also caused an enhancement in energetic protons (see section IIA below). Other activity included a multi-peak C-class event with maximum flux of C3.5 at 07/0401 UTC. H-alpha imagery from the IPS Culgoora observatory revealed an active prominence on the southwest limb as well as plage brightening in Region 19 (S19W32) in association with this event. Another event of interest occurred at about 07/1700 UTC, with a large, 35-degree filament eruption centered near N11W49, which also produced a CME visible in SOHO/LASCO imagery. New Region 27 (S15E26) was numbered today.
IB. Prognoza activității solare
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 19 remains a potential source of M-class flare activity.
IIA. Rezumatul activității geofizice 06-2100Z la 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled, with one isolated active period observed at Boulder during 07/1500-1800 UTC. Coronal hole effects appeared to wane throughout the day. A 10 MeV proton event began at 07/1830 UTC, due to enhanced flux following the LDE discussed in section 1A above, and remains in progress. Maximum flux observed thus far was 22 pfu at 07/1955 UTC.
IIB. Prognoza activității geofizice
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible during the next 3 days, in response to earlier CME activity from Region 19 as well as from the filament eruption and other flare activity observed today.
III. Probabilități de eveniment 08 Jul până la 10 Jul
Clasa M35%30%30%
Clasa X01%01%01%
Proton35%01%01%
PCAFyellow
IV. Flux de Penticton 10,7 cm
  Observat       07 Jul 137
  Prevăzut   08 Jul-10 Jul  132/130/130
  Media 90 de zile        07 Jul 168
V. Indici geomagnetici A
  Observat Afr/Ap 06 Jul  018/023
  Estimat(ă)     Afr/Ap 07 Jul  011/013
  Prevăzut    Afr/Ap 08 Jul-10 Jul  015/015-012/012-012/008
VI. Probabilități de activitate geomagnetică 08.Jul până la 10.Jul
A. Latitudinile mijlocii
Activ30%25%25%
Furtună minoră10%10%10%
Furtună major-severă01%01%01%
B. Latitudini înalte
Activ35%30%25%
Furtună minoră15%15%15%
Furtună major-severă01%01%01%

Toate orele în UTC

<< Accesați pagina de prezentare zilnică

Cele mai recente noutăți

Sprijină SpaceWeatherLive.com!

O mulțime de oameni vin la SpaceWeatherLive pentru a urmări activitatea Soarelui sau dacă există aurora de văzut, dar cu mai mult trafic vin costuri mai mari ale serverului. Luați în considerare o donație dacă vă place SpaceWeatherLive, astfel încât să putem menține site-ul online!

98%
Sprijină SpaceWeatherLive cu marfa noastră
Verificați marfa noastră

Date despre vremea spațială

Ultima erupție clasa X16.07.2024X2
Ultima erupție clasa M22.07.2024M1.5
Ultima furtună geomagnetică28.06.2024Kp8- (G4)
Zile fără pată
Ultima zi fără pată solară08.06.2022
Numărul mediu lunar al petelor solare
iunie 2024164.2 -7.5
iulie 2024187.2 +23
Last 30 days180.3 +31.4

Această zi din istorie*

Erupții solare
12004X1.3
22000M5.33
32000M4.84
42024M3.9
52023M3.1
DstG
12004-85G3
22009-83G2
31992-69G2
42000-62
51971-55
*din 1994

Rețele sociale