Guarda l'archivio di giovedì, 9 novembre 2000

Rapporto attività solare

Rapporto dell'attività geofisica solare 2000 Nov 09 2200 UTC
Preparato dal NOAA © SWPC ed elaborato da SpaceWeatherLive.com

Relazione congiunta USAF/NOAA sull'attività solare e geofisica

Numero SDF 314 rilasciato alle 2200Z il 09 Nov 2000

IA. Analisi delle regioni solari attive e delle attività dal 08-2100Z al 09-2100Z

Solar activity increased to high levels. An M7 X-ray flare occurred at 08/2328 UTC. Regions 9218 (N20W72), 9213 (N04W92), and 9212 (N10W86) produced optical flares during the M7, thereby making a single-point source determination difficult. This event was accompanied by a halo CME, Type IV radio sweep, and a 710 sfu Tenflare. Optically uncorrelated M1 X-ray flares occurred at 09/0314 UTC and 09/0610 UTC. Region 9221 (S14E06) produced an M1/Sf flare at 09/1613 UTC associated with an 8-degree filament disappearance. New Region 9228 (N20E29) was numbered today.
IB. Previsione dell'Attività Solare
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. Isolated M-class flares will be possible during the period.
IIA. Sommario dell'Attività Geofisica dal 08-2100Z al 09-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. Active conditions occurred during the 09/1500 - 1800 UTC period. Proton events at greater than 100 MeV and greater than 10 MeV were associated with the M7 flare mentioned above. The greater than 100 MeV event began at 08/2355 UTC and reached a maximum of 347 pfu at 09/0350 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV event began at 08/2350 UTC and reached a (preliminary) peak of 13,300 pfu at 09/1600 UTC. The proton event was in progress as the period ended. A polar cap absorption event was associated with the proton event. Peak absorption was estimated to be 33 dB at 09/1640 UTC.
IIB. Previsione dell'Attività Geofisica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled levels during the first day. Activity is expected to increase to active to major storm levels during the remainder of the period due to an expected CME passage associated with the M7 event mentioned above. The greater than 100 MeV proton event is expected to end during the first day, but the greater than 10 MeV proton event is expected to continue through the period. The polar cap absortion event is expected to continue through the period as well.
III. Probabilità di evento 10 Nov to 12 Nov
Classe M50%45%40%
Classe X10%10%05%
Protone99%99%90%
PCAFin progress
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Osservato       09 Nov 166
  Previsto   10 Nov-12 Nov  160/155/150
  Media di 90 giorni        09 Nov 173
V. Indici Geomagnetici A
  Osservato Afr/Ap 08 Nov  014/015
  Stimato     Afr/Ap 09 Nov  012/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Nov-12 Nov  015/015-030/050-020/020
VI. Probabilità di Attività Geomagnetica dal 10 Nov al 12 Nov
A. Medie Latitudini
Attivo30%20%40%
Tempesta minore10%40%20%
Tempesta maggiore intensa05%25%15%
B. Alte Latitudini
Attivo30%20%40%
Tempesta minore15%25%20%
Tempesta maggiore intensa05%40%20%

<< Vai alla pagina della panoramica giornaliera

Ultime notizie

Supporta SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Molte persone vengono su SpaceWeatherLive per seguire l'attività del Sole o se c'è un'aurora da vedere, ma con un maggior traffico arrivano maggiori costi del server. Considera una donazione se ti piace SpaceWeatherLive in modo da poter mantenere il sito online!

1%

Notizie sul meteo spaziale

Ultimo X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Ultimo M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Ultima tempesta geomagnetica:2019/10/26Kp5 (G1)
Numero di giorni senza macchie nel 2020:11
Attuali giornate senza macchie:9

Questo giorno nella storia*

Flares solari
12005X1.3
22005M6.7
32012M3.2
42005M2.7
52010M2.3
ApG
1200560G3
2199425G1
3200418
4200318
5200214
*dal 1994

Social networks