Affichage des archives de mercredi, 19 juin 2002
Rapport d'activité solaire
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport d'activité solaire et géophysique 2002 Jun 19 2200 UTC
Fait par le NOAA © SWPC et adapté par SpaceWeatherLive.comRapport de l'USAF/NOAA sur l'activité solaire et géophysique
SDF numéro 170 publié à 2200Z le 19 Jun 2002
IA. Analyse des régions solaires actives et activité du 18-2100Z au 19-2100Z
Solar activity has been low. A C5 event occurred at
19/1015 UTC. The LASCO/EIT imagery suggest the source of the event
to be Region 9991 (S22W85).
IB. Prévisions d'activité solaire
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Résumé de l'activité géophysique du 18-2100Z au 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active conditions. Minor
storm conditions were observed at high latitudes. This activity is
attributed to a well positioned coronal hole.
IIB. Prévision de l'activité géophysique
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active conditions are
possible for June 20 with the coronal hole passage.
III. Probabilité d'éruption solaire du 20 Jun au 22 Jun
Classe M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Classe X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Flux Penticton 10.7 cm
Observé 19 Jun 146
Prévisionnel 20 Jun-22 Jun 150/150/155
Moyenne des 90 derniers jours 19 Jun 177
V. Indice géomagnetique A
Observé Afr/Ap 18 Jun 008/011
Estimé Afr/Ap 19 Jun 012/016
Prévisionnel Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 015/018-010/010-008/008
VI. Probabilités d'activité géomagnétique du 20 Jun au 22 Jun
A. Latitudes moyennes |
Actif | 20% | 20% | 15% |
Tempête mineure | 10% | 10% | 05% |
Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Hautes latitudes |
Actif | 25% | 20% | 20% |
Tempête mineure | 10% | 10% | 05% |
Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, region number 10000 was assigned
on June 14. Space Weather operations is going
through the sequence of Region numbers as 9998,
9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's product text
discussions of the active regions will ignore the
leading zeroes (for example, we will say 'Region
number 5' rather than Region number '0005'). However,
the Geoalert product, the Region Report product, as
well as the USAF and IUWDS data exchange codes will
preserve the 4 digit format. The necessity of using
four digits is for operational purposes only. For
historical purposes all regions beyond Region 9999
will be understood to be in a series of region numbers
10000 and higher.
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