Affichage des archives de mardi, 13 juin 2000
Rapport d'activité solaire
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport d'activité solaire et géophysique 2000 Jun 13 2200 UTCFait par le NOAA © SWPC et adapté par SpaceWeatherLive.com
Rapport de l'USAF/NOAA sur l'activité solaire et géophysique
SDF numéro 165 publié à 2200Z le 13 JUN 2000IA. Analyse des régions solaires actives et activité du 12-2100Z au 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A LOW LEVEL. THE LARGEST
EVENT OF THE PERIOD WAS A LONG DURATION C4/SF AT 13/1350Z FROM
REGION 9041 (N18W35). GROWTH IN THIS REGION SLOWED BUT SOME RECENT
FLARE ACTIVITY HERE WAS SHARED WITH NEARBY REGION 9033 (N24W22).
FREQUENT SUBFLARES WERE OBSERVED FROM REGION 9042 (N19E69). THIS
REGION SHOWED ITSELF AS A MODERATE SIZE E CLASS GROUP. REGION 9026
(N23W74) CONTINUED A SLOW DECAY.
IB. Prévisions d'activité solaire
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 9026, 9033/9041, AND 9042 APPEAR CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS. THE POSSIBILITY FOR MAJOR FLARES
FROM THESE REGIONS IS DECREASING SLOWLY.
IIA. Résumé de l'activité géophysique du 12-2100Z au 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. A SHOCK
PASSED THE ACE SPACECRAFT AT 12/2140Z AND CREATED A SUDDEN IMPULSE
OF 28 NT AT THE EARTH AT 12/2210Z. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY INCREASED
FROM 450 KM/S TO OVER 600 KM/S. HOWEVER, SINCE THAT TIME, VELOCITY
SLOWLY DECREASED AND AT THE END OF THE PERIOD WAS BACK BELOW 450
KM/S. THIS SHOCK IS BELIEVED RELATED TO THE FULL HALO CORONAL MASS
EJECTION ON 10 JUN. THE LEVEL OF DISTURBANCE IN THE GEOMAGNETIC
FIELD FOLLOWING THE SHOCK WAS BELOW EXPECTATION.
IIB. Prévision de l'activité géophysique
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. VERY
ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE. NO RECENT MASS EJECTIONS
APPEAR TO BE EARTH-DIRECTED.
III. Probabilité d'éruption solaire du 14 JUN au 16 JUN
| Classe M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Classe X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Flux Penticton 10.7 cm
Observé 13 JUN 199 Prévisionnel 14 JUN-16 JUN 200/195/192 Moyenne des 90 derniers jours 13 JUN 188
V. Indice géomagnetique A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 JUN 012/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUN 016/016 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUN-16 JUN 010/012-010/012-008/010
VI. Probabilités d'activité géomagnétique du 14 JUN au 16 JUN
| A. Latitudes moyennes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actif | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tempête mineure | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Hautes latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Actif | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tempête mineure | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Dernières nouvelles
lundi, 22 avril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
samedi, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
mercredi, 20 mars 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Forum
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 72Space Weather Memes 338Unproven theories 340Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Plus de messages du forumAidez SpaceWeatherLive.com !
Vous êtes de plus en plus nombreux à consulter SpaceWeatherLive pour suivre l'activité solaire ou aurorale, et avec le traffic les coûts du serveur augmentent. Si vous appréciez SpaceWeatherLive, soutenez notre projet en faisant un don afin que nous puissions continuer à vous informer !
La Météo Spatiale en faits
| Dernière classe X | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Dernière classe M | 24/04/2024 | M1.7 |
| Dernier orage géomagnétique | 19/04/2024 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Jours sans taches solaires | |
|---|---|
| Dernier jour sans taches solaires | 08/06/2022 |
| Nombre mensuel moyen de taches solaires | |
|---|---|
| mars 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 129.9 +24.3 |