Vaata laupäev, 8 märts 2003 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2003 Mar 08 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 067 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 08 Mar 2003IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 07-2100Z kuni 08-2100Z Solar activity increased to low levels today. The
largest flare during the period was a C2.6/Sf event that occurred in
Region 206 (N05E63) at 08/0957Z. White light currently shows this
group to consist of a single large penumbral spot which may share
both polarities. Will be able to better analyze once region rotates
further onto disk. A C1.0 flare was observed from Region 301
(N22W18) at 08/0116Z. There was little in the way of magnetic
structure changes seen in this region during the period. Region 297
(S14W25) produced a couple low level B-class flares today. Regions
307 (S26W02) and 308 (n08E75) were newly assigned today.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. There is a small chance for an isolated M-class flare
from Region 296 (N13W31).
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 07-2100Z kuni 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels. There
was an isolated active period at mid latitudes in response to a
southward oscillation in the Bz component of the interplanetary
magnetic field between 08/1500 and 1800Z. The coronal hole high
speed stream that has been geoeffective for the past several days
appears to have rotated out of its favorable position early in the
period. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the
period.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 09 Markuni 11 Mar
| Klass M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 08 Mar 148 Prognoositud 09 Mar-11 Mar 150/150/145 90 päeva keskmine 08 Mar 142
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 07 Mar 013/014 Hinnanguline Afr/Ap 08 Mar 008/009 Prognoositud Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 008/010-007/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 09 Mar kuni 11 Mar
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Väike torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
Space Weather Memes 337Unproven theories 340AR 3637, 3638, 3643 67Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 23/04/2024 | M2.9 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 19/04/2024 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 124.7 +19.1 |