Vaata laupäev, 24 november 2001 arhiivi

Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2001 Nov 24 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga

Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne

SDF number 328 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 24 Nov 2001

IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 9704 (S17W63) was the principle source of flare activity and produced numerous C-class flares, the largest being a C7/Sf at 24/0553 UTC. No new regions were numbered.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
Solar activity is expected to be predominantly low to moderate. Region 9704 remains a potential source for an isolated major flare with associated proton enhancements, as it rotates through the geoeffective heliographic longitudes over the next two days.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 23-2100Z kuni 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to severe storm levels. The onset of storm conditions began with two sudden impulse observations: 20nt at 24/0500 UTC, followed by 80nt at 24/0555 UTC. The shock passages enhanced the already high 10 MeV proton integral flux to a peak value of 18900 pfu at 24/0555 UTC. Severe storm conditions were evident in planetary K-index values during 24/0600-1800 UTC. This event is the likely result of interaction among up to three interplanetary shock propagations from separate CME events during 21-23 November, indicated by re-analysis of shock arrival model predictions with improved event velocity data. Results suggest that the CMEs may have merged into the single interplanetary shock that passed the earth today. The 10 MeV proton event and associated polar cap absorption remained in progress at the end of the period, however the 100 MeV proton event ended at 24/1200 UTC.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
Geomagnetic field activity may persist with isolated active and minor storm conditions for the next 48 hours, in the wake of today's shock passage. Conditions are expected to return to quiet to unsettled conditions by day three. The 10 MeV proton event is expected to continue to wane over the next 24 hours.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 25 Novkuni 27 Nov
Klass M40%40%40%
Klass X10%10%10%
Prooton95%50%10%
PCAFin progress
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
  Vaadeldud       24 Nov 173
  Prognoositud   25 Nov-27 Nov  170/170/175
  90 päeva keskmine        24 Nov 218
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
  Vaadeldud Afr/Ap 23 Nov  011/012
  Hinnanguline     Afr/Ap 24 Nov  095/105
  Prognoositud    Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov  030/030-018/020-012/010
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 25 Nov kuni 27 Nov
A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne35%25%20%
Väike torm20%10%05%
Suur-tõsine torm05%05%01%
B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne35%30%20%
Väike torm25%15%05%
Suur-tõsine torm10%05%01%

<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele

Viimane uudis

Toeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!

Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!

23%
Toetage SpaceWeatherLive meie kaupadega
Vaadake meie kaupa

Fakte kosmose ilmast

Viimane X-loide23/03/2024X1.1
Viimane M-loide28/03/2024M7.0
Viimane geomagnetiline torm25/03/2024Kp5 (G1)
Plekivabasid päevi
Viimane päikese plekivaba päev08/06/2022
Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv
veebruar 2024124.7 +1.7

See päev ajaloos*

Päikesepursked ehk loited
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32000M4.46
42022M4.0
52014M3.79
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*alates 1994

Sotsiaalvõrgustikud