Vaata arhiivi reede, 3 märts 2000

Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne

Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2000 Mar 03 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga

Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne

SDF number 063 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 03 MAR 2000

IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 02-2100Z kuni 03-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8886 (S12W87) PRODUCED TODAY'S LARGEST EVENT, AN M4/SN AT 1046Z. THE REGION EXHIBITED BRIGHT PLAGE WITH FREQUENT FLUCTUATIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS IT APPROACHED THE WEST LIMB. REGION 8882 (S15W70) ALSO PRODUCED AN M-CLASS EVENT: AN M3/1B AT 0214Z WHICH WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A TYPE IV RADIO SWEEP EVENT. THIS REGION IS CURRENTLY THE LARGEST ON THE DISK, BUT WAS SHOWING SOME EARLY INDICATORS OF DECAY NEAR DAY'S END. REGION 8891 (S15W17) IS ALSO LARGE BUT WAS STABLE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. A FAINT CME COULD BE OBSERVED WITH THE SOHO DATA FROM THE SOUTHWEST LIMB, BEGINNING AT 0454Z. A SUBSEQUENT BRIGHT, LARGE CME WAS OBSERVED ON THE SOUTHEAST LIMB BEGINNING AT 0654Z. NEITHER OF THESE CME'S HAD AN OBVIOUS ASSOCIATED COUNTERPART ON THE DISK, IMPLYING THAT THEY BOTH ORIGINATED FROM BEHIND THE SOLAR LIMB.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED MAJOR FLARE OR PROTON PRODUCING FLARE FROM REGION 8882, OR POSSIBLY REGIONS 8886 OR 8891. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. AN INCREASE IN ACTIVITY LEVELS MAY OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF A GLANCING BLOW FROM RECENT CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE M6 AND X1 FLARES OF 02 MARCH. A DIRECT HIT IS NOT LIKELY SINCE NEITHER OF THESE CME'S WERE OBSERVED AS HALO CME'S AND ARE NOT THOUGHT TO BE DIRECTED TOWARDS THE EARTH.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 04 MARkuni 06 MAR
Klass M65%65%65%
Klass X20%20%20%
Prooton20%20%20%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
  Vaadeldud       03 MAR 204
  Prognoositud   04 MAR-06 MAR  200/195/190
  90 päeva keskmine        03 MAR 169
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 MAR  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 MAR  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 MAR-06 MAR  015/028-015/025-010/020
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 04 MAR kuni 06 MAR
A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne25%25%20%
Väike torm15%15%10%
Suur-tõsine torm05%05%05%
B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne30%30%25%
Väike torm15%15%10%
Suur-tõsine torm10%10%05%

<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele

Viimane uudis

Toeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!

Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!

100%

Fakte kosmose ilmast

Viimane X-loide:10 /09 /2017X8.2
Viimane M-loide:20 /10 /2017M1.0
Viimane geomagnetiline torm:26 /10 /2019Kp5 (G1)
Päikese plekivabade päevade arv 2019 -is:263
Praegused järjestikused päikeseplekkideta päevad:36

See päev ajaloos*

Päikesepursked ehk loited
12001M3.4
22015C6.7
31998C5.7
42001C5.3
52001C5.3
ApG
1200335G1
2201328G2
3200624G1
4201621
5200018
*alates 1994

Sotsiaalvõrgustikud