Vaata arhiivi neljapäev, 2 märts 2000

Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne

Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 2000 Mar 02 2200 UTC
Valminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga

Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne

SDF number 062 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 02 MAR 2000

IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 01-2100Z kuni 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN HIGH. AN IMPULSIVE CLASS X1 FLARE OCCURRED IN REGION 8882 (S15W58) BEGINNING AT 02/0828Z FOLLOWED BY A CLASS M5 EVENT IN THE SAME REGION BEGINNING AT 02/1335Z. TYPE II RADIO BURSTS OCCURRED IN CONJUNCTION WITH BOTH EVENTS. BOTH EVENTS PRODUCED ONLY LOW TO MODERATE TOTAL ENERGY IN TERMS OF THEIR RADIO AND X-RAY BURSTS AND THEIR DURATION. IMPRESSIVE CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS OVER THE SOUTHWEST LIMB OF THE SUN FOLLOWED BOTH FLARES. THE LATER CME WAS FOLLOWED BY FURTHER EJECTION OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST LIMB. REGION 8882 AND REGION 8891 (S15W04) REMAIN COMPLEX AND POTENTIAL SOURCES OF MAJOR FLARES. THE SUN APPEARS TO BE IN AN UNSETTLED MODE. MINOR SHORT-LIVED SUNSPOT GROUPS ARE APPEARING AT VARIOUS LOCATIONS ON THE DISK AND SMALL FLARES ARE OCCURRING IN MANY OF THE ACTIVE REGIONS.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATE TO HIGH. CLASS M EVENTS ARE EXPECTED AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF MORE CLASS X EVENTS. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. THERE WAS A VERY SMALL ENHANCEMENT OF ENERGETIC PROTONS GREATER THAN 10 MEV MEASURED BY GOES FOLLOWING THE CLASS X EVENT EARLIER TODAY. ENERGETIC ELECTRONS GREATER THAN 2 MEV AS MEASURED BY GOES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT HAVE REMAINED BELOW ALERT THRESHOLDS TODAY.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE POTENTIAL FOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMS IS UNCLEAR. THE CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE PRIMARILY EARTH-DIRECTED, BUT THEY MAY HAVE AT LEAST A MODERATE IMPACT IN TERMS OF GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY. THE FORECAST IS FOR ACTIVE CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE OF A MINOR TO MAJOR STORM. THERE IS A CHANCE OF ANOTHER INCREASE IN ENERGETIC PARTICLES DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A RESULT OF THE PASSAGE OF SHOCKS FROM THE CME TODAY.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 03 MARkuni 05 MAR
Klass M65%65%65%
Klass X20%20%20%
Prooton20%20%20%
PCAFYELLOW
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
  Vaadeldud       02 MAR 213
  Prognoositud   03 MAR-05 MAR  210/210/205
  90 päeva keskmine        02 MAR 169
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 MAR  016/019
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 MAR  012/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 MAR-05 MAR  012/012-025/028-025/025
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 03 MAR kuni 05 MAR
A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne12%40%40%
Väike torm05%10%10%
Suur-tõsine torm05%10%10%
B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel
Aktiivne20%40%40%
Väike torm05%20%20%
Suur-tõsine torm05%10%10%

<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele

Viimane uudis

Toeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!

Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!

11%

Fakte kosmose ilmast

Viimane X-loide:10 /09 /2017X8.2
Viimane M-loide:20 /10 /2017M1.0
Viimane geomagnetiline torm:19 /02 /2020Kp5 (G1)
Päikese plekivabade päevade arv 2020 -is:41
Praegused järjestikused päikeseplekkideta päevad:26

See päev ajaloos*

Päikesepursked ehk loited
12002M2.2
22002M1.6
32002C7.9
42002C7.1
52014C6.8
ApG
1200330G1
2199730G3
3199525G1
4201420G1
5201219G1
*alates 1994

Sotsiaalvõrgustikud