Vaata teisipäev, 16 november 1999 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1999 Nov 16 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 320 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 16 NOV 1999IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS HIGH. SIX M-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS
OCCURRED. THE FIRST AND LARGEST WAS AN M3/1B FLARE AT 16/0246Z FROM
REGION 8766 (N18E31). A TYPE II AND IV SWEEP, A 360 SFU TENFLARE,
AND A PARTIAL HALO CME ALSO ACCOMPANIED THIS FLARE. THIS REGION,
THOUGH RELATIVELY SMALL, MAINTAINS CONSIDERABLE MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY.
REGION 8765 (S12E06) PRODUCED AN M2/1N AT 16/0710Z AND AN M1/IN AT
16/1411Z. THIS REGION IS A VERY LARGE AND MAGNETICALLY COMPLEX
REGION WITH TWO DELTA CONFIGURATIONS. WHITE LIGHT COVERAGE HAS NOW
EXCEEDED 1000 MILLIONTHS OF WHITE LIGHT AREA. AN M3/SN FLARE WAS
OBSERVED IN REGION 8760 (N15W81). A PARTIAL HALO CME OCCURRED WITH
THIS FLARE. NEW REGION 8770 (S14W23) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE TO HIGH. REGION 8765 HAS GOOD POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A MAJOR
PROTON PRODUCING FLARE SOON. ISOLATED M-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE IN REGION 8766. REGIONS 8759 (N12W45) AND 8760 MAY ALSO
PRODUCE ISOLATED SMALL M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 15-2100Z kuni 16-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. A SUSTAINED PERIOD OF
NEGATIVE BZ HAS PERSISTED SINCE AROUND 16/0900Z RESULTING IN THE
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE THROUGH DAY 2. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON DAY THREE IN RESPONSE TO TODAY'S FREQUENT
FLARE ACTIVITY AND CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 17 NOVkuni 19 NOV
| Klass M | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Klass X | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Prooton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | YELLOW | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 16 NOV 233 Prognoositud 17 NOV-19 NOV 225/215/200 90 päeva keskmine 16 NOV 164
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 NOV 003/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 NOV 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 NOV-19 NOV 012/012-012/012-020/020
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 17 NOV kuni 19 NOV
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 35% | 45% | 45% |
| Väike torm | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Väike torm | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 85Unproven theories 341Space Weather Memes 338Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 24/04/2024 | M1.4 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 19/04/2024 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 128.8 +21.5 |