Vaata laupäev, 19 oktoober 1996 arhiivi
Päikese aktiivsuse aruanne
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Päikese ja geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse aruanne 1996 Oct 19 2200 UTCValminud NOAA © SWPC ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-iga
Ühine USAF / NOAA päikese- ja geofüüsikaalase aktiivsuse aruanne
SDF number 293 Välja antud 2200Z kuni 19 OCT 1996IA. Päikese aktiivsete piirkondade ja päikeseaktiivsuse analüüs alates 18-2100Z kuni 19-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. HOWEVER, A LARGE
FILAMENT LOCATED BETWEEN S28E61-S33E80 BEGAN TO DISAPPEAR NEAR
19/1600Z. THIS FILAMENT BECAME AN ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE AS IT
CONTINUED OUT BEYOND THE LIMB NEAR S28 TO A MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF
0.4R BEFORE FADING IN H-ALPHA. A LONG DURATION SOFT X-RAY
ENHANCEMENT BEGAN NEAR 19/1625Z AND REACHED A MAXIMUM OF A6
AT 19/1738Z. THE DECAY OF THIS X-RAY EVENT CONTINUES AT ISSUE
TIME. IT IS CERTAIN THIS EVENT REPRESENTS A LARGE CORONAL MASS
EJECTION. A NEW SMALL REGION IS APPEARING AT APPROXIMATELY
N15E90 IN RECENT YOHKOH IMAGES.
IB. Päikese aktiivsuse ennustus
SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY SHOULD
CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Summaarne geofüüsikaline aktiivsus 18-2100Z kuni 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED BETWEEN UNSETTLED AND MINOR
STORM LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD AS THE CORONAL HOLE RELATED
DISTURBANCE CONTINUED. SOME HIGH LATITUDE SITES EXPERIENCED
PERIODS OF MAJOR STORMING. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geofüüsikalise aktiivsuse ennustus
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
SHOULD REMAIN AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR 20 OCT
AND EARLY 21 OCT. UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY ACTIVE CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED FOR THE LATTER HALF OF 21 OCT AND
THROUGH 22 OCT. THE PROBABLE CME MENTIONED ABOVE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH DUE TO ITS MODERATELY HIGH
LATITUDE, NEAR EAST LIMB LOCATION, AND APPARENT TRAJECTORY
OUT OF THE ECLIPTIC PLANE.
III. Sündmuste tõenäosus 20 OCTkuni 22 OCT
| Klass M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Klass X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Prooton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Pikklaine 10.7 cm kiirgus
Vaadeldud 19 OCT 071 Prognoositud 20 OCT-22 OCT 071/071/071 90 päeva keskmine 19 OCT 071
V. Geomagneetiline A-indeks
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 OCT 025/021 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 OCT 023/028 PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 OCT-22 OCT 020/025-012/015-012/015
VI. Geomagnetilised aktiivsuse tõenäosused 20 OCT kuni 22 OCT
| A. Keskmistel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Väike torm | 35% | 15% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Kõrgetel laiuskraadidel | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktiivne | 20% | 25% | 20% |
| Väike torm | 40% | 25% | 10% |
| Suur-tõsine torm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Viimane uudis
esmaspäev, 22 aprill 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
laupäev, 23 märts 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
kolmapäev, 20 märts 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Viimane foorumi postitus
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 69Space Weather Memes 337Unproven theories 340Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Veel teemasidToeta SpaceWeatherLive.com-i!
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Fakte kosmose ilmast
| Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2024 | X1.1 |
| Viimane M-loide | 24/04/2024 | M1.7 |
| Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 19/04/2024 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Plekivabasid päevi | |
|---|---|
| Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
| Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
|---|---|
| märts 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Viimased 30 päeva | 129.9 +24.3 |