Space Weather Forecast - Debate

Emitido: 2019 Jul 16 0030 UTC
Preparado por el U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Actividad solar

Resumen 24 hr
Solar activity was very low. No sunspots were present on the visible disk. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available imagery.
Predicción
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels on 16-18 Jul.

Partículas Energéticas

Resumen 24 hr
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 4,234 pfu observed. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
Predicción
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at moderate to high levels for the forecast period (16-18 Jul). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at background levels.

Viento Solar

Resumen 24 hr
Solar wind parameters were slightly enhanced with solar wind steady at an average speed of about 450 km/s with an isolated peak of near 500 km/s. Total field generally ranged from 1-7 nT with a brief increase to 10 nT. The Bz component varied between +5 to -7 nT. Phi angle was oriented in a predominantly positive solar sector.
Predicción
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain elevated. Solar wind speeds in the 450-550 km/s range are expected based on STEREO-A solar wind data.

Geoespacio

Resumen 24 hr
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
Predicción
Unsettled levels are expected to persist 16-17 Jul followed by quiet to unsettled levels on 18 Jul.

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Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X:10/09/2017X8.2
Último evento clase M:20/10/2017M1.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas:10/07/2019Kp5 (G1)
Número de días sin manchas en el año 2019:126
Estrías actual días sin manchas:9

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
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ApG
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5199837G2
*desde 1994

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