Space Weather Forecast - Debate

Emitido: 2019 Nov 20 1230 UTC
Preparado por el U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Actividad solar

Resumen 24 hr
Solar activity remained very low and the visible disk was spotless. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
Predicción
Very low solar activity is expected to continue 20-22 Nov.

Partículas Energéticas

Resumen 24 hr
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background.
Predicción
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain normal to moderate on 20 Nov and reach high levels on 21-22 Nov due to anticipated CH HSS effects. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Viento Solar

Resumen 24 hr
Solar wind parameters were indicative of a slow regime. Total field strength was primarily 2 to 4 nT and the Bz component underwent weak deviations. Solar wind speed averaged around 350 km/s and the phi angle was mostly negative.
Predicción
Solar wind parameters are expected to become elevated late on 20 Nov and persist through 21 Nov due to the arrival of a CIR and subsequent CH HSS. Conditions are expected to begin to wane on 22 Nov.

Geoespacio

Resumen 24 hr
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Predicción
Unsettled to active conditions are expected late on 20 Nov due to the arrival of the aforementioned CIR. An isolated period of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions is likely on 21 Nov in due to combined CIR and CH HSS effects. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on 22 Nov as the CH HSS effects begin to wane.

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Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X:10/09/2017X8.2
Último evento clase M:20/10/2017M1.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas:26/10/2019Kp5 (G1)
Número de días sin manchas en el año 2019:245
Estrías actual días sin manchas:18

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12003M9.6
22003M5.8
31999M3.2
42012M1.7
52012M1.6
ApG
12003150G4
2200225G2
3200724G1
4199424G1
5200420
*desde 1994

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