Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 mayo 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 May 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 148 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 May 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 May,
29 May, 30 May).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 484 km/s at 27/2055Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 27/1646Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
27/1447Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 531 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28 May), quiet to active
levels on day two (29 May) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day
three (30 May).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 May a 30 May
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 May 090 Previsto 28 May-30 May 090/095/095 Media de 90 Días 27 May 093
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 May 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 May 009/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 May-30 May 007/008-013/015-016/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 May a 30 May
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 35% | 55% |
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