Viendo archivo del domingo, 26 octubre 2014

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Oct 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 299 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Oct 2014

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a X2 event observed at 26/1056Z from Region 2192 (S12W46). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be high on days one, two, and three (27 Oct, 28 Oct, 29 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 422 km/s at 26/0537Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 26/1801Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 26/0822Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3489 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (27 Oct) and quiet to unsettled levels on days two and three (28 Oct, 29 Oct). Protons have a chance of crossing threshold on day one (27 Oct) and have a chance of crossing threshold on days two and three (28 Oct, 29 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Oct a 29 Oct
Clase M85%85%85%
Clase X55%55%55%
Protón40%45%45%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Oct 217
  Previsto   27 Oct-29 Oct 220/220/210
  Media de 90 Días        26 Oct 141

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Oct  009/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Oct  011/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct  011/012-008/010-008/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Oct a 29 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa40%25%25%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/23X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/28M6.1
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32024M6.1
42000M4.46
52022M4.0
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales