Viendo archivo del martes, 4 marzo 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 Mar 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 63 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 Mar 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C8 event observed at
04/0455Z from Region 1991 (S24W13). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(05 Mar, 06 Mar, 07 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
457 km/s at 04/1711Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 04/0331Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 04/1125Z. Protons greater
than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5 pfu at
03/2110Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (05 Mar, 06 Mar, 07
Mar). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days one,
two, and three (05 Mar, 06 Mar, 07 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 Mar a 07 Mar
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 Mar 158 Previsto 05 Mar-07 Mar 155/150/150 Media de 90 Días 04 Mar 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 03 Mar 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 Mar a 07 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
jueves, 22 febrero 2024
X6.3 solar flare
Últimos mensajes del foro
Imagery from Total Solar Eclipse 08/04/2024 3AR 3637, 3638, 3643 46Main page of website is down, black/blank circling loading circle for data. 9Growth of Cycle 25 407Interesting four hour class 12
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/18 | M1.5 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/16 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |