Viendo archivo del jueves, 11 abril 2013

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Apr 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 101 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Apr 2013

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at 11/0716Z from Region 1719 (N10W00). There are currently 6 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (12 Apr, 13 Apr, 14 Apr).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 507 km/s at 11/1243Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 11/0712Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 11/0916Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 114 pfu at 11/1645Z. Protons greater than 100 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2 pfu at 11/1400Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 385 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (12 Apr), quiet to major storm levels on day two (13 Apr) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (14 Apr). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (12 Apr), have a chance of crossing threshold on day two (13 Apr) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (14 Apr).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Apr a 14 Apr
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón99%30%10%
PCAFred
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Apr 137
  Previsto   12 Apr-14 Apr 138/135/130
  Media de 90 Días        11 Apr 113

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Apr  005/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Apr  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Apr-14 Apr  006/005-018/026-028/045

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Apr a 14 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%30%30%
Tormenta Menor01%35%45%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%10%15%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%10%15%
Tormenta Menor15%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%60%35%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/23X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/28M7.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32000M4.46
42022M4.0
52014M3.79
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales