Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 agosto 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 231 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Aug 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was high. Region 1548 (N19E86) produced an M5/Sf flare at 18/0102Z, accompanied by a Tenflare (150 pfu). An M1/Sn flare from the same region followed at 18/0323Z, also accompanied by a Tenflare (120 pfu). Finally, an M2/1N occurred at 18/1607Z. Several coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the past 24 hours, none appear to have a geoeffective component. SDO 304 imagery showed a filament eruption in the vicinity of Region 1543 (N23W74) around 17/16Z. A CME was subsequently observed in LASCO C2 coronagraph imagery at 17/1836Z, and in LASCO C3 imagery at 17/1918Z. A second filament eruption and CME was observed near Region 1543 between 17/22Z and 18/0034Z. It was visible in STEREO-B COR2 imagery at 18/0110Z and in LASCO C3 imagery at 18/0454Z. This CME was directed well north of the ecliptic.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with moderate activity likely for the next three days (19-21 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed at the ACE spacecraft ranged between about 350-420 km/s during the period. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field ranged between -8 and +12 nT. Solar wind density at ACE increased sharply after 18/19Z. The geomagnetic field reached active levels during the last period (18-21Z) coincident with a change to the positive sector and the arrival of the corotating active region.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (19-21 August) as a corotating interaction region and coronal hole high speed stream become geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Aug a 21 Aug
Clase M55%55%55%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Aug 097
  Previsto   19 Aug-21 Aug  100/100/100
  Media de 90 Días        18 Aug 125
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Aug  011/011
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Aug  009/011
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Aug-21 Aug  010/012-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Aug a 21 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%15%
Tormenta Menor30%30%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa25%25%15%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

54%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/28X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/04/23M2.9
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/04/19Kp7 (G3)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
marzo 2024104.9 -19.8
Last 30 days124.7 +19.1

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
11998X1.77
22003M7.4
32001M5.77
42024M3.5
52024M3.0
ApG
1202365G4
2200227G2
3201226G2
4201736G1
5200827G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales