Viendo archivo del domingo, 12 agosto 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 225 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Aug 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1542 (S13W04)
produced a B8/Sf at 12/1344Z, and several other Sf optical flares
throughout the period. Region 1543 (N20E07) remained the largest
region on the disk. Both Regions 1542 and 1543 ended the period
with beta-gamma magnetic configurations.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. A solar sector boundary change,
from positive to negative occurred at approximately 12/1330Z. Wind
speed at the ACE spacecraft rose from approximatly 300 km/s at the
beginning of the period to end near 400 km/s. The Bz component of
the interplanetary magnetic field was slightly negative from 11/21Z
to 12/06Z, then ranged from +/- 5nT for the remainder of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a slight chance for an
active period, for days 1 and 2 (13-14 August) before becoming
mostly quiet on day 3 (15 August). The increased activity on the
first two days is expected from the influence of a weak high speed
stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Aug 112 Previsto 13 Aug-15 Aug 115/110/100 Media de 90 Días 12 Aug 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Aug 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Aug 006/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Aug-15 Aug 008/008-009/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Aug a 15 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 10% | 05% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
What are these long and thin eruptions? 1AR 3637, 3638, 3643 89Unproven theories 341Space Weather Memes 338Filaments and prominences 55
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/25 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 133.9 +26.6 |