Viendo archivo del martes, 26 junio 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jun 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 178 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jun 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1512 (S16E25, Dai/Beta) was in a gradual growth phase during the period and produced a C1 x-ray flare as well as occasional optical subflares. New Region 1513 (N16E71, Hax/Alpha) was numbered and produced a C1/Sf flare. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low through the period (27 - 29 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with active to minor storm periods detected at high latitudes. This activity was associated with a minor increase in solar wind speeds (peak 496 km/s at 26/0455Z) coupled with intermittent periods of southward IMF Bz (maximum southward deflection -7 nT at 26/0113Z).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (27 - 28 June). Field activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (29 June) with a chance for active levels due to the arrival of a co-rotating interaction region in advance of a coronal hole high-speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jun a 29 Jun
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Jun 099
  Previsto   27 Jun-29 Jun  100/105/105
  Media de 90 Días        26 Jun 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jun  005/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Jun  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun  007/005-006/005-009/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jun a 29 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor20%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%20%

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