Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 junio 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jun 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Jun 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1494 (S18W33) produced a C7 flare at 08/0307Z. The flare was accompanied by Type II and Type IV radio emissions at 08/0305Z and 08/0308Z, respectively. A CME was observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 08/0443Z emerging from the southern hemisphere. Analysis of LASCO and STEREO COR2 coronagraph imagery indicated a speed of approximately 380 km/s. A subsequent model run suggested a glancing blow at earth late on June 12th. Filament eruptions were observed from the NE limb at 08/1645Z in SDO 304 imagery and at 08/1756Z in LASCO C2. A second eruption near N10E50 was observed in SDO 304 imagery at 08/1706Z. The first eruption is not expected to be geoeffective; the second is being evaluted.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for an isolated M-class event for the next three days (09-11 June).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled levels. Data from the ACE spacecraft suggested the possible arrival of the CME from 05 June around 08/0800Z. A couple of unsettled periods followed, but most of the day was quiet. Wind speed at ACE declined throughout the period and ended the day near 500 km/s. The Bz component of the IMF was generally neutral to slightly negative for the first half of the day, and generally positive for the last half. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (09 June). The CME from 06 June is expected to arrive on day 2 (10 June), bringing unsettled conditions with a chance for an isolated active period through day 3 (11 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Jun a 11 Jun
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Jun 124
  Previsto   09 Jun-11 Jun  125/125/130
  Media de 90 Días        08 Jun 117
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Jun  008/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Jun  009/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun  006/005-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Jun a 11 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%30%30%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/23X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/28M7.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32000M4.46
42022M4.0
52014M3.79
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales