Viendo archivo del jueves, 22 marzo 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 082 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Mar 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1440 (S25W38) produced
todays only C-class flare at 22/1750Z. This region appears to be
decaying and currently shows a beta-gamma configuration. Three new
sunspot groups were numbered today: Region 1441 (S27W56), Region
1442 (N13E49) and Region 1443 (N16E62). All of these regions were
small, quiet, and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-flare from Region 1440.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with an isolated unsettled period
from 22/1800Z to 22/2100Z. Solar wind data appeared to indicate a
solar sector boundary crossing at about 22/1930Z. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels
throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (23-25 March).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Mar a 25 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Mar 102 Previsto 23 Mar-25 Mar 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 22 Mar 122
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Mar 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Mar 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Mar a 25 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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