Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 013 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. A filament channel eruption was observed around 12/2130Z in
the northern hemisphere around Region 1396 (N26E18). In connection
with this event, a CME was observed in LASCO C2 imagery at 12/2136Z.
This CME appears to be non geoeffective. Two new Regions have been
numbered in the past 24 hours, Region 1397 (S20E28) and Region 1398
(N13W08). Both regions are magnetically classified as beta.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days (14 - 16 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the
past 24 hours. Measurements by the ACE spacecraft indicated the
arrival and continuing presence of a coronal hole high speed stream
(CH HSS). During the passage of this CH HSS, solar wind speeds
started out at around 400 km/s, peaked around 550 km/s, and were at
450 km/s, at the time of the report.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days
(14 - 16 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jan 124 Previsto 14 Jan-16 Jan 130/135/135 Media de 90 Días 13 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jan 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan 005/005-004/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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