Viendo archivo del viernes, 6 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 006 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest event of the period was a C2 flare at 06/1125Z
from Region 1392 (N19W32). A new emerging flux region was numbered
today as Region 1394 (N18E42).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for the next
three days (07-09 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours. Solar wind characteristics, as measured by the ACE
spacecraft, indicate the arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream
(CH HSS) with solar wind speeds increasing from around 330 - 450
km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next two days (07-08
January) as the effects the CH HSS wane. A return to mostly quiet
levels is expected on day three (09 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Jan 136 Previsto 07 Jan-09 Jan 135/130/130 Media de 90 Días 06 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan 006/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan 009/010-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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