Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. Several small coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed but
none appear to have any Earth directed components. Two new regions
were numbered today, Region 1360 (N17E17) and Region 1361 (N19E59).
There are over 10 numbered sunspot regions on the disk, however most
have remained stable and quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next
three days (26 - 28 November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at mostly quiet levels for the next two days (26
- 27 November). An increase to quiet to unsettled with a chance for
active levels is expected on day three (28 November), as a coronal
hole high speed stream moves into a geoeffective position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Nov a 28 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 Nov 135 Previsto 26 Nov-28 Nov 130/135/140 Media de 90 Días 25 Nov 140
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 24 Nov 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 25 Nov 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov 004/007-006/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Nov a 28 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 04% | 07% | 21% |
| Tormenta Menor | 00% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 17% | 18% |
| Tormenta Menor | 14% | 20% | 33% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 32% |
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