Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest event of the period was a C1 flare from Region
1356 (N15E16). A new sunspot group was numbered early in the period
in the northwest quadrant, Region 1359 (N16W52). A CME was observed
off the west limb in LASCO C2 imagery at 24/0125Z, but after careful
analysis, there appears to be no Earth directed components.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next
three days (25-27 November).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels with an
isolated period at minor storm levels observed at high latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days
(25-27 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Nov 137 Previsto 25 Nov-27 Nov 135/130/130 Media de 90 Días 24 Nov 140
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov 005/005-005/007-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 04% | 07% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 00% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 16% | 15% | 17% |
| Tormenta Menor | 17% | 14% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 07% | 05% | 10% |
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