Viendo archivo del miércoles, 23 noviembre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare was a C2
at 23/1328Z from Region 1346 (S15W82). Region 1356 (N15E28) decayed
slightly in area in its intermediate spots. Three CMEs were
observed during the summary period. The first was associated with a
filament eruption in the northwestern quadrant first observed in
SDO/AIA 193 imagery at 22/1957Z. The second was first seen in
SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 23/0048Z which was possibly associated with
the same filament eruption. The third was first seen in SOHO/LASCO
C2 imagery at 23/0924Z which was associated with a high latitude
backside event. Further analysis of the 22/1957Z CME is ongoing to
determine the possibility of a glancing blow. The two subsequent
CMEs are not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for M-class activity. An isolated M-class flare is
possible from Region 1356.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (24 - 26
November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Nov 140 Previsto 24 Nov-26 Nov 145/145/145 Media de 90 Días 23 Nov 139
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 007/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 04% | 04% | 04% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Tormenta Menor | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 06% | 06% | 06% |
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