Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 noviembre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 323 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Nov 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Occasional low-level C-class flares were observed during the period. Old Region 1341 (N08, L=055), which rotated out of view early in the period, was the likely source for a C1 x-ray flare at 19/0127Z associated with a weak Type II radio sweep and a non-Earth-directed CME. Region 1354 (S17E44) showed gradual spot growth in its intermediate portion and produced a couple C-class flares including a C3 at 19/1955Z, which was the largest flare of the period. New Region 1356 (N14E81) rotated into view and was classified as an Hsx with an alpha magnetic classification.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low through the period (20 - 22 November) with a slight chance for an M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet through the period (20 - 22 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Nov a 22 Nov
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Nov 140
  Previsto   20 Nov-22 Nov  140/140/135
  Media de 90 Días        19 Nov 138
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Nov  001/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Nov  001/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Nov a 22 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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