Viendo archivo del domingo, 6 noviembre 2011

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Nov 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 310 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Nov 2011

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. Region 1339 (N20E20) produced two M-class flares during the period: an M1/Sf at 06/0103Z and an M1/Sn at 06/0635Z associated with a weak Type II radio sweep. No significant change was noted in Region 1393 as it remained a large (1230 millionths), magnetically complex Fkc group with a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Region 1338 (S14E02) produced two C-class flares and showed minor spot growth in its trailer portion. Newly numbered Region 1343 (N29E76) rotated into view as an Hsx-type group. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate during the period (07 - 09 November) with a slight chance for high activity (M5 or higher) from Region 1339. There will also be a slight chance for a proton flare from Region 1339 during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The proton flux enhancement that began on 04 November continued to gradually decrease, but was still slightly above background levels at the close of the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during the period (07 - 09 November).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Nov a 09 Nov
Clase M70%70%70%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Nov 177
  Previsto   07 Nov-09 Nov  175/175/175
  Media de 90 Días        06 Nov 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Nov  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Nov  003/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Nov a 09 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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