Viendo archivo del martes, 11 octubre 2011
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2011 Oct 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 284 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Oct 2011IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1313 (S15W13) remains the most magnetically complex
region, but has failed to produce any notable activity. Early in
the period, two new regions rotated onto the visible disk, around
the southeast limb, and were numbered as Region 1316 (S12E56) and
Region 1317 (S26E68).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels for the next three days (12-14 October).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds, as measured by the ACE spacecraft
did show an increase from 320 km/s to around 410 km/s during the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (12-14
October).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Oct a 14 Oct
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Oct 130 Previsto 12 Oct-14 Oct 130/130/125 Media de 90 Días 11 Oct 115
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Oct 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Oct 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Oct-14 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Oct a 14 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 11% |
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